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Why Ukraine can beat Russia and why that matters to America

Trudy Rubin

By Trudy Rubin Philadelphia Inquirer/(TNS)

Published December 19, 2023

Why Ukraine can beat Russia and why that matters to America

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One year ago, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy addressed a joint session of Congress. Lawmakers hailed him as a hero defender of democracy against an aggressive Russia, whose leader threatened Europe and the United States.

This week, GOP legislators — displaying no shame and offering no apologies — humiliated Zelenskyy. He had traveled to Washington to urge Republicans to pass a vital military aid package for his country. They stiffed him.

The same Republicans who cheered Zelenskyy last December are now fast walking the U.S. toward the greatest (self-inflicted) military debacle of the post-World War II era. They are ready to hand Vladimir Putin a victory. They are also ready to abandon brave Ukrainians in the middle of battle as they fight to prevent Putin from swallowing them into a new Russian empire.

Goodbye, U.S. global leadership. Onward, more military and political challenges to democracies — including ours. Every dictator — from Moscow to Tehran to Pyongyang to Beijing — gets it, even though the GOP doesn't, or just does not care.

Half the U.S. public, fed fake facts by Republicans, also seems confused about why we must keep supporting Ukraine, and why the aid must not be tied to whether Congress resolves the border issue, as the GOP demands.

It's past time for President Joe Biden to lay out clearly why Ukraine can still win, and why that matters to Americans. Here are five points that urgently need to be clarified.

Not defeated

The U.S. must ignore defeatist claims that Ukraine has already lost the war because its counteroffensive has stalled. They are simply untrue.

As retired Gen. Ben Hodges, former U.S. commander Europe told me, "The first three years of World War II were disaster after disaster until 1942.

"Thank goodness Churchill and FDR didn't decide to negotiate with Hitler. Instead, Roosevelt explained to Americans what was at stake, dictatorship or democracy. And the U.S. expanded its industrial base."

In other words, when the endgame is critical, you don't abandon support for your allies in the middle of the fight.

A major reason the Ukrainian counteroffensive stalled was the slow delivery of key weapons systems by Washington and NATO nations, which gave Russia time to build fearsome defenses, including lay mines five deep in flat battlefields. The West also failed to provide Ukraine with planes, so its troops lack air cover to advance.

Ukraine has revised its strategy (away from inappropriate Pentagon advice) to stress new technologies, especially drones. It now focuses on firing behind enemy lines to destroy Russian headquarters and depots, and has had amazing success using homemade sea drones to push back Russian ships in the Black Sea.

But, for the new strategy to prosper, it needs F-16s and long-range ATACMS missiles, which the Pentagon is still not delivering. The Pentagon argument that we can't spare ATACMS is untrue, as we are exporting hundreds of them.

With continued aid and the right weapons systems Ukraine could still score a breakthrough next year.

Say no to negotiations

Americans must also ignore the ignorant calls from the likes of U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (and others who should know better) for Ukraine to negotiate now. They disregard reality and feed Putin's dreams of victory.

Russians have already started to celebrate their potential triumph when U.S. aid stops. Putin made clear at a news conference this week that the war will continue until Russia achieves its aims.

According to Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, "peace" requires an end to Western military support, acceptance of Russia's permanent occupation of at least 20% of Ukraine, demilitarization of the country, and "de-Nazification" (which means overthrow of the Ukrainian government and imposition of Russian stooges).

Putin has made publicly clear he wants the total subjugation of Ukraine.

Listen to Putin

If you want to hear what Putin and state-controlled media are saying, now that they think the GOP and a future Donald Trump presidency will finalize their victory, follow Julia Davis on X (formerly Twitter). The Daily Beast columnist collects video of Russia's leading talk show hosts.

Currently, they are gloating about how the GOP's aid cut is undermining the faith of America's allies in U.S. leadership and how Trump's actions have helped Russia. They also talk about how de-Nazification means forcing Ukrainians to recognize they are (inferior) Russians or be killed.

An economic bargain

Contrary to GOP claims, U.S. aid to Ukraine is not a money pit. The cost of that aid is slightly more than 3% of the Pentagon budget, yet Ukrainians have gutted much of the current Russian army and its weapons supplies.

And Ukrainian soldiers are doing all the fighting. Meanwhile, two thirds of the military aid we send to Kiev goes straight to the Pentagon to finance new weapons systems, while they send the old stuff, (often from unused stockpiles) to Ukraine. Furthermore, Ukraine's technological innovations are providing valuable lessons to our own military.

As for the canard that the Europeans don't do their share, they are sending more economic and military aid to Ukraine than the U.S. is, but they will falter if we do. And they don't have critical American-made weapons systems that Ukraine needs.

A victory for America

Biden must tell the public why a victory for Ukraine is a victory for the United States, while a win for Putin is a debacle. If Putin triumphs, it will convince allies and enemies that America has abandoned any pretense of global leadership. It would undercut any pretense that we support fellow democracies.

Biden is trying to compromise with the GOP to procure Ukraine aid. But the president also needs to make clear to the American people why that aid is a bargain — from a moral and national security viewpoint.

In his news conference with Zelenskyy on Tuesday, Biden used the word "win" for the first time when referring to the Ukraine endgame. It is past time for him to proclaim victory as the U.S. goal, and act accordingly — including finding a way around the GOP's blindness if the party bows to Putin.

Ukrainians are shedding their blood for the values America used to hold dear before one of our major parties chose to embrace dictators. Shame on us and shame on our country if we abandon them now.

(COMMENT, BELOW)

Trudy Rubin
Philadelphia Inquirer
(TNS)

Previously:

11/20/23: Documentary sheds light on Putin's mass murder in Ukraine

11/16/23: Even Tlaib should know better

9/22/23: Russia's kidnapping of Ukrainian children under the spotlight at United Nations

9/22/23: Biden should resolve the blockage of visas for Iraqis and Afghans who helped our troops

9/11/23: Even on vacation, there's no escaping Putin's murderous intentions

08/18/23: With new weapons slow to arrive from NATO allies, Ukraine surprises Putin with sea drones

08/09/23: Lessons from a military funeral in Ukraine

07/28/23: As Russian missiles again rain down on Odesa, Putin sneers at the UN and NATO allies

07/24/23: Putin is playing a game of food blackmail. The West can't let him win

07/19/23: Can Ukraine win the war against Russia? I'm traveling there to find out

07/17/23: From hell to Harvard: One Ukrainian's escape and how you can help fulfill her dreams

07/11/23: At the NATO summit in Vilnius: Will Biden seize or squander the chance to end Putin's war on Ukraine?

04/21/23: The Pentagon documents leak will embolden Putin as he tries to outlast Ukraine

03/22/23: The Russian attack on a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone underlines why we must help Ukraine win

03/15/23: Will the White House have the courage to propel a Ukrainian victory this year?

02/21/23: On the first anniversary of Putin's invasion, Ukraine fights on for its independence and for the security of the West

02/17/23: A former Pakistani leader's death, and his wise peace plan that failed

02/09/23: Earthquakes killed nearly 12,000 people this week. Three men are partly to blame

01/24/23: As Russia murders civilians in Dnipro, why won't NATO send weapons that could end the war?

12/28/22: What Zelensky worried about when he addressed a cheering Congress

12/13/22: The US-China conflict to watch is the Chip War --- which centers on Taiwan

09/14/22: Ukraine scores sudden breakthrough that should energize Western support

09/09/22: Queen Elizabeth's death deprives Britain and the world of a rock of stability

09/08/22: After Gorbachev's death, Putin wants the world to know he is the 'anti-Gorbi'

08/26/22: 6 months after Russia's war vs. Ukraine began, the West still won't give Kiev the weapons to win

08/15/22: Ukraine's civilian volunteers work to give aid and rebuild, even as Russia continues to bomb them

08/08/22: A trip near the front lines finds Ukrainian troops ready for a battle that could decide the war

06/13/22: The critical battles for Ukraine and for America are being fought right here, right now

05/02/22: Save Odesa to save the world from hunger and high food prices

05/02/22: Bloodless Ukrainian War, not utopian fantasy says one-time largest foreign investor in Russia

04/11/22: The only way to end Putin's war crimes

03/28/22: Don't let Putin's nuclear and chemical threats stop us from giving Ukraine what it needs

03/24/22: An elegy for Mariupol, where I walked six weeks ago. Now razed by Russian bombs

03/18/22: Zelensky's brilliant speech should impel Biden and Congress to protect Ukrainian skies

03/11/22: Mariupol's bombed maternity hospital exemplifies why NATO should protect Ukraine's skies

03/10/22: No 'no-fly zone'? Then NATO must find another way to protect Ukraine's skies

03/07/22: The third World War has already started in Ukraine. Europe and the US should wake up

03/04/22:Putin must be stopped from turning Kiev into Aleppo

03/02/22:Why is Belarus helping Russia invade Ukraine? An explainer on the latest in the conflict

02/25/22: What the UN should finally do about Russia

02/24/22: Why Putin's Ukraine aggression will change the world --- an explainer on how we got here

02/10/22: Ukrainian civilians train for war with cardboard guns: 'We are scared but we are ready

01/13/22:Putin wants to reestablish the Russian empire. Can NATO stop him without war?

12/10/21: Can Biden and NATO prevent Putin from invading Ukraine? Summit puts it to the test

12/02/21: Boris Johnson stirs up new Irish Troubles for his own personal political gains

11/22/21: Xi Jinping thinks America is on the rocks. Is he correct?

08/18/21: President Biden, get our Afghan allies on evacuation planes

08/18/21:The horror of Afghan women abandoned by Biden's troop pullout

08/09/21:China is pushing a big COVID-19 lie that makes a new pandemic harder to prevent

05/27/21: Punish Belarus leader for Ryanair hijacking before air piracy becomes dictators' new tool

04/14/21: Can Beethoven temper the political tensions between US and China?

06/01/20: US must stand with Hong Kong against Beijing's efforts to crush its freedoms

05/20/20: COVID-19 offers a chance to halt Iran's hostage diplomacy

05/21/14: Newscycle spurs visit to country my family fled

04/21/14: Blind to Putin's strategy?

12/24/13: Obama's Syrian indifference has led to more death and destruction. Meet some real heroes

12/13/13: Where liberals have come to love the military

12/09/13: The China strategy

11/05/13: Return to Iraq is worth a close look

10/01/13: Obama's call to Iran: Who was really on the line?

09/11/13: How Obama got Syria so wrong

07/24/13: It's time for Obama to tell Putin 'nyet'

05/15/13: What Russia gave Kerry on Syria --- very little


Trudy Rubin is a columnist and editorial-board member for the Philadelphia Inquirer.