It is the richest of times, all apologies to Dickens, and it is the most unequal of times. The difference in wealth and income between the top 1% and the rest of America tends to get more attention, but one of the more striking wealth gaps is generational: Older Americans are far richer than young Americans.
The good news is that most Americans, of all ages, have never had more wealth. But estimates in new research from
Several economic trends have contributed to this divergence. One is the increase in stock ownership: In 1989, only 32% of Americans (of all ages) owned stock; by 2022, 58% did. This is in large part because 401(k)-type plans became more common and, according to the paper, displaced more liquid and less remunerative forms of saving such as checking accounts.
Boomers were the first generation to be offered 401(k)s at work when they were young, and they have contributed to their wealth in retirement. Because 401(k)s are cheaper for employers to offer than defined-benefit plans, more people have them, and more have retirement benefits, period. According to the paper, stocks as a share of Americans' retirement portfolios more than doubled between 1983 and 2022, mostly because the market did so well — the S&P 500 has risen nearly 20-fold since 1989. It has been a good time to own stocks.
The other big change is the increase in home ownership. Between 1983 and 2022, it went up by 5.2 percentage points, to 67.4%. The paper estimates home ownership rates were flat for those under the age of 35, but older Americans became more likely to own their home. The homeownership rate of Americans aged 65 or older increased more than 7 percentage points.
Meanwhile, as with equities, the value of real estate has increased since the 1980s. This is due in part to limited housing relative to a growing population, as well as to better, bigger homes with more amenities. Then again, mortgage debt also increased for all age groups, especially for young people attempting to buy their first home. This greater debt is contributing to the growing inequality between age groups.
Inequality is often called the major economic issue of our era. But when the inequality is between the young and old, or within a family, it may be less of a problem. For one, the olds did not necessarily get rich at the expense of the youngs. For another, this inequality may simply reflect an ownership society in which more people save for their retirement and own their homes. Such a world would be more unequal because older people have had more years to accumulate wealth and enjoy the benefits of compound returns.
To put it another way: The young people of today may yet have their time. There is certainly no guarantee that the next 40 years will be as prosperous as the last, but there are reasons to think it will. Some of the young may also inherit some of their elders' money, too.
There is, I acknowledge, a seductive zero-sum view of this wealth gap. It goes something like this: First, older people benefited from buying houses when they were cheaper (though mortgage rates were higher). But there is a finite supply of housing, and prices went up, pricing out younger buyers.
Meanwhile, a lot of this wealth accumulation occurred as the government took on more debt to pay benefits or lower taxes, and that can't continue as
Of course, the wealth gap does raise the question of why the elderly are the beneficiaries of so much government largesse. It is also worth noting that young people today may be worse off relative to older Americans than ever before.
Nevertheless, today's young people are better off, in absolute terms, than the young people of the past — notably the Boomers when they were young. Median and average net worth have increased over time for all age groups, especially in the last five years. These may be small comforts if your grandmother is pricing you out of your neighborhood. But it's always important, in both economic and familial matters, to keep a sense of perspective.
(COMMENT, BELOW)
Allison Schrager, a Bloomberg columnist, is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and a contributing editor of City Journal.
Previously:
• Democratize private investment?
• Lab-grown diamonds are testing the power of markets
• Inflation ate your free lunch, but you're still better off
• Good debt? Bad debt? There's no such thing
• Megabills didn't break the economy before and won't now
• America's broken politics is breaking economics, too
• A college degree is no longer a risk-free investment
• Break up Columbia? Maybe, and the rest of the Ivy League, too
• Even Dems might like MAGA accounts
• Reality Check about possibile volatility in trade war
• Is this really how American exceptionalism ends?
• The free-market conservative is a vanishing breed
• Shareholder capitalism is back
• Europe's risk aversion comes with consequences
• The Oxford curriculum that American universities need
• Private equity won't diversify your portfolio
• The era of declining interest rates may have come to an end, and many investors don't seem to realize it
• This one weird trick could save the U.S. economy
• The Fed's damage to the housing market may last years
• The future of unions looks very different
• To bring back the office, bring back lunch
• Does it really matter who gets into Harvard?
• Our pensions shouldn't be used to juice the economy
• A soft landing won't mean the economy is safe
• The 30-year mortgage is saving the U.S. economy … or is it?
• The one true secret to successful investing
• Less work, more burn-out
• When did risk become a bad word in the U.S.?
• AI-proofing your career starts in college
• Biden has to learn the same lesson as SVB
• Say it with Rubio: Changing clocks is stupid
• Sure, we'll return to the office in 2023 but not to stores
• How to manage the biggest risk of all: Uncertainty
• If you think U.S. pensions are safe, just wait
• Harry and Meghan and the perils of superstar culture
• Norman Rockwell's economy is never coming back
• Burned by crypto? Don't learn the wrong lesson
• Quiet Quitters are looking in the wrong place for meaningful work
• America's MBAs are the latest skeptics of capitalism
• Generation Z is getting a harsh lesson in stock risk
• The biggest threat to the U.S. economy is policymakers
• Buck up, boomers. You're still better off than your parents
• How to manage the biggest risk of all: uncertainty
• Startup boom is the kind of risk-taking Americans need
• Gen Z is too compliant to achieve greatness
• A bigger child tax credit isn't the poverty solution we need
• Finding your power in a higher-priced world
• The Biden administration's plans to double the tax rate on capital gains will prove costly to all Americans, not just the wealthy
• WARNING: Feel Good Now --- Pay Later: Stimulus is crammed with goodies but makes no economic sense
• The 'Stakeholder' Fallacy: Joe Biden's vision of capitalism is a recipe for failure