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May 9th, 2024

Insight

Silicon Valley Bank's collapse may be a blessing in disguise

Doyle McManus

By Doyle McManus Los Angeles Times/(TNS)

Published March 22, 2023

Silicon Valley Bank's collapse may be a blessing in disguise
WASHINGTON — In the brief but spectacular collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, we may just have witnessed the best banking crisis ever.

It might even have been useful.

Nobody got seriously hurt, except bank executives who made bad decisions and shareholders who weren't paying attention.

Those Silicon Valley libertarians who spent years demanding that government get out of the way earned their comeuppance when they begged the Federal Reserve to save them. "Where is (Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H.) Powell? Where is (Treasury Secretary Janet L.) Yellen? Stop this crisis NOW," tweeted David Sacks, the tech investor who was a fan of creative destruction until it got too near his bank account.

Just as there are no atheists in foxholes, there are no libertarians in financial panics.

Republican politicians provided a dose of comedy, blaming SVB's financial blunders on the imaginary menace of "woke banking." There's no evidence that the bankers' political leanings, "woke" or otherwise, affected their balance sheet.

The rest of us got a useful reminder of why free-market capitalism needs to be regulated: to protect the little guy (and sometimes not-so-little guys) from catastrophe.

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Most important, the Fed and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) got a wake-up call that their oversight of middle-size banks has been dangerously lax.

The collapse of SVB, frightening though it was, could be a useful corrective to excessive bank deregulation, like a brief health crisis that prompts people to exercise more and eat better.

Despite the mind-numbing complexities of high finance, the story of SVB turned out to be pretty simple. The bank parked too much of its cash in long-term government bonds, which went down in value when interest rates rose. That left SVB without enough assets if a bunch of its depositors decided to withdraw their money all at once — which they did.

But SVB's vulnerability shouldn't have been a surprise. The bank reported its problems in public financial statements last fall. The Wall Street Journal published an article on the asset squeeze in November, almost four months before the tech bros panicked.

The mystery is why neither SVB Chief Executive Greg Becker nor the federal and state authorities assigned to regulate the bank acted to prevent the crisis. The Fed or the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation could have required SVB to raise more capital last year, when it was less vulnerable. They didn't.

"Regulators were asleep at the switch," Lawrence J. White, a banking expert at New York University's Stern School of Business, told my colleague Don Lee.

When SVB's big depositors began their stampede earlier this month, it was too late.

To Powell and Yellen, the panic in Palo Alto raised the specter of runs on other middle-size banks nationwide.

So they stepped in, seized SVB and said they would guarantee all accounts, even those larger than the FDIC insurance ceiling of $250,000.

That qualifies as a bailout. It will be paid for by fees on banks instead of tax dollars, but every bank customer will share the invisible cost.

Still, it was better than the alternative: more bank panics and greater damage to the economy.

The decision to cover uninsured deposits over $250,000 prompted hand-wringing about "moral hazard." In theory, capitalism regulates itself when risky behavior — putting too much money in one bank, for example — gets punished. If the government rescues people who make bad bets, they have no incentive to avoid undue risk.

But the SVB bailout wasn't unprecedented. The FDIC and the Fed have quietly bailed out most uninsured depositors since 2008.

Becker will get a chance to explain himself at congressional hearings, the Capitol Hill version of the Walk of Shame on "Game of Thrones." He'll presumably be asked whether he was really too woke to notice that his long-term bonds were losing value.

The regulators will be called to account as well, not only by longtime critics like Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass. Last week a dozen senators including Kyrsten Sinema, I-Ariz., and J.D. Vance, R-Ohio, asked the Fed why it failed to investigate SVB.

There's already a list of possible fixes. Congress could reimpose so-called stress tests on middle-size banks, a rule it eliminated in 2018. The Fed could reimpose liquidity requirements for those banks, a rule Powell relaxed in 2019. The FDIC could raise the ceiling on deposit insurance above $250,000 and bill banks for the cost.

The test will come six months from now: Is the Fed doing more? Are banks? And are voters still paying attention?

The banking system's jitters aren't over. The government is still trying to sell what remains of SVB. San Francisco-based First Republic Bank is still looking shaky, even after a $30 billion injection of deposits.

But at least for a moment, the rest of us can breathe a sigh of relief. If all financial crises could be resolved as quickly as this one, capitalism would be a little less scary.

(COMMENT, BELOW)

Previously:
03/07/23: DeSantis wants to displace Trump as the GOP's 2024 nominee. But he has hurdles to overcome
02/21/23: Biden's 2024 presidential campaign harks back to past Dem triumphs
02/14/23: Chinese balloon is gone, but it's still making US-China relations harder to manage
01/24/23: Biden said the pandemic is over. But, aw shucks!, the pandemic just won't cooperate
01/17/23: The war in Ukraine could become a long, frozen conflict. Are we ready for that?
01/10/23: The real winner from the House fight?
12/28/22: Why Trump will never go to jail over Jan. 6
12/20/22: Democracy around the world is looking a little healthier, at least next to the alternative
12/13/22: Biden's policy makes Ukraine fight by rules Russia doesn't follow
12/09/22: Iran protests have shoved the nuclear issue off center stage. It will be back
09/20/22: Biden sent the wrong message on COVID. He can still fix it
09/20/22: Putin's brutality in Ukraine can get worse. Get ready for a chilly winter
09/13/22: China's economy is slowing, its population aging. That could make it dangerous
06/28/22: To deter China on Taiwan, Biden needs to reassure
05/24/22: India has become a US partner in countering China --- a limited partner, that is
05/11/22: Slow Joe's premature self-congratulation won't help the US in Ukraine
05/03/22: Can the US deter Putin from using his arsenal of battlefield nuclear weapons in Ukraine?
04/08/22:Biden's budget is big. Dems will vote to make it bigger
03/22/22: Ukraine's resistance offers a useful lesson to Taiwan
03/15/22: China wanted to appear neutral between Russia and Ukraine. It isn't
02/22/21: Who needs an invasion? Putin's offensive against Ukraine has been underway for a long time
02/09/21: If Putin wants an exit from the Ukraine crisis, the offramps are open
11/30/21: Biden wants to focus on China. Putin has another idea
11/23/21: Our oldest president just turned 79. He might have something to learn from the second-oldest
11/16/21: Can Biden and Xi talk their way out of a slide into conflict?
10/13/21: Congress has a chance to take bipartisan action on Facebook. Don't let it slip away
09/24/21: Can Dems win on crime issues with murders rising? Biden thinks so
06/29/21: Can Dems win on crime issues with murders rising? Biden thinks so
04/20/21:Afghanistan's war -- and America's stakes in it -- won't end when the troops leave
03/31/21: Here's why our new cold war with China could be a good thing
02/25/21: Sen. Joe Manchin drives Dems crazy. Here's why they need more senators like him
08/11/20: Goodbye to traditional political conventions --- and good riddance

05/19/20: We won't end COVID-19 with 'test and trace'
04/07/20: Joe Biden is stuck in his basement. It just might help him win
03/10/20: Where did Bernie's revolution go wrong?
03/05/20: Dems give Trump good reason to smile
02/18/20: Who will be the Un-Bernie?
02/11/20: Buttigieg wants to be the Goldilocks candidate. It just might work
01/21/20: The world according to Bernie
09/04/19: Trump's draft deal with the Taliban looks ugly, but it may be the best we can get
04/22/19: Something is missing from media-fawning Buttigieg campaign --- his stance on major issues
03/14/19: Biden, If He Runs, Will Face A Cruel Irony

Doyle McManus
Los Angeles Times
(TNS)

Doyle McManus is an American journalist, columnist, who appears often on Public Broadcasting Service's Washington Week.