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September 7th, 2024

Insight

Ready for Biden's Counterattack?

 Dan McCarthy

By Dan McCarthy

Published July 16, 2024

Ready for Biden's Counterattack?


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Donald Trump has a lot of things to celebrate this week, but a foregone conclusion in November isn't one of them.

Joe Biden is down in the polls and losing the unwinnable war against time's toll.

But he's nothing if not tenacious, and the president has a trick ready to turn Trump's latest triumph — over an assassin's bullet — into a political defeat.

In his Oval Office remarks Sunday, Biden tied the attempt on Trump's life to a litany of other acts of political violence, including the Jan. 6, 2021, riot at the U.S. Capitol.

He was returning to a winning theme from 2020, when the summer of rage following the death of George Floyd gave Democrats an opening to identify Trump with chaos.

The Biden campaign's next move is obvious enough — blame Trump and the GOP themselves for the assassination attempt by linking it to their position on guns.

Just why 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks tried to murder Trump isn't clear.

But how he tried to do it is significant enough for Biden's purposes:

Crooks used a rifle, and whatever his ideological interests may have been, he's confirmed to have been a firearms enthusiast.

He tried out for his high school's shooting team, belonged to a gun club, and died wearing the T-shirt of a pro-gun YouTube channel, Demolition Ranch.

A vote for Trump, Democrats will say, is a vote for political instability and putting deadly weapons in the hands of unstable individuals like Crooks.

Republicans, meanwhile, have already sprung a trap on themselves.

To score cheap political points, or because they're simply victims of their own groupthink, Trump supporters have started echoing a Democratic theme.

They think they're turning the tables on progressives by holding them accountable for creating a climate of violence with their extreme anti-Trump rhetoric.

Trump even appears as Adolf Hitler on a recent New Republic cover.

Isn't that an incitement to murder the man?

When President Biden himself talks about putting Trump in a bull's-eye, isn't that language likely to lead to someone like Crooks actually putting him in the crosshairs?

Republicans never thought so before, whenever they used such "targeting" metaphors, and progressives were the ones accusing them of inspiring violence.

It shouldn't take an exceptional degree of self-awareness for supporters of Donald Trump to recognize how hyping the dangers of intemperate language might backfire.

Any comparison of Trump to Hitler is moronic, but it's not an instigation.

And if rude rhetoric were the deciding issue of the campaign, voters would be quick to send Trump into retirement — not only for the things he says but for the deranged utterances he elicits from his enemies' mouths.

Democrats are only too happy to wage a campaign on these terms.

Their strategy calls for getting voters to see Biden, once again, as a force for calm and unity and Trump as a source of endless controversy, anger and upheaval.

Trump, on the other hand, has to court moderates without repudiating the right, if he wants to match or surpass his 2016 victory.

He needs the Republican base, including gun owners and pro-lifers, to turn out in full strength — but the no-compromise policies conservatives hope for are what many swing voters fear most.

Trump was the president who built the Supreme Court majority that overturned Roe v. Wade.

But he's seen how referendums on abortion have turned out since then, and he's determined not to let his campaign become one.

Democrats are doing their utmost to turn it into just that.

Biden's no moderate when it comes to guns or abortion, or almost anything else, but moderation is a message he'll exploit to the fullest.

He wants to be the no-drama candidate — a steady, mature hand at the wheel, even if one that's a bit too mature.

Trump at his best is an inimitable mixture of humor, optimism, urgency and outrage.

He takes the stage to opera, disco and the Rolling Stones — drama is his element.

He must, however, be seen to master the whirlwind, as he did when he rose to his feet and raised his fist defiantly after the assassin missed his shot.

Biden seeks to turn his own mediocrity into a strength.

It worked last time.

Republicans shouldn't help him do it — either by becoming complacent about their chances in November or by adopting the Democrats' framework on rhetoric and violence.

(COMMENT, BELOW)

Previously:
07/09/24: Biden Faces Richard Nixon's Choice
07/02/24: Should Biden Drop Out -- or Resign?
06/18/24: Separate Sexual Identity and State
06/18/24: Nigel Farage Makes the Trump Moment Permanent
06/04/24: State that's long eluded GOP turns toward Trump
05/21/24: Trump's Sun Belt Hopes and Rust Belt Needs
05/14/24: What Trump Sees in Doug Burgum
05/07/24: The Vietnam Era Never Ended for Biden's Party
05/06/24: Nationalists of the World, Unite?
04/25/24: Foreign Policy Splits
04/16/24: How pro-lifers stand to lose everything gained in overturning Roe
04/02/24: PBS Misremembers William F. Buckley Jr.
04/02/24: Who Wants to Be House Speaker?
03/26/24: Trump Hunts for a VP Close to Home
03/19/24: Princess Kate and Democracy's Discontents
03/12/24: Can Biden Buy the Voters?
03/05/24: Veepstakes Give Trump an Edge
02/20/24: Do Americans Trust Either Party?
02/13/24: Vladimir Putin -- A Passive Aggressor
01/23/24: Will 'Lawfare' Take Trump Off the Ballot?
01/16/24: Will Africa Save America?
01/09/24:'The Sopranos' at 25: A new world tragedy
01/02/24: Trump, Biden and a Fight for the Heart
12/12/23: What Happened to Ron DeSantis?
12/12/23: Biden Looks Doomed -- But Is He?
12/05/23: A Test for Trump and His Rivals
11/21/23: When Inequality Is Fatal for Men
11/14/23: Nevermind, The Battle's Over
11/07/23: War in the Dem Party -- and at the Opera
10/24/23: Israel's Lesson for 2024: A Lib Crackup
10/17/23: Libs' Dilemma: Immigration or Israel?
10/10/23: Why Bidenflation Defines Bidenomics
10/03/23: Will Gavin Newsom Copy Trump?
09/26/23: Biden's a Loser -- but Dems Can't Ditch Him
09/19/23: Do Sex Scandals Matter?
09/12/23: Cornel West Spells Doom for Biden
09/05/23: What Trump Does for Democracy
08/2/23: Ramaswamy: A Trump Versus Trump?
08/22/23: Take 'Rich Men North of Richmond' Seriously
08/16/23: How America Kills Its Own
08/08/23: The Biden Pardon That Can Spare America
08/01/23: Harding, a consevative for the ages
07/25/23: Demography Destiny, for Us and China
07/18/23: The Frontrunner Who Looks Like a Loser Is Biden
07/11/23: Britain's Bad Example for American Conservatives
07/05/23: Could We Still Win a Revolutionary War?
06/27/23: Civilizations Clash -- in Ukraine and at Home
06/20/23: China Comes for the Caribbean
06/13/23: Fertility, Family and Bio-Socialism
06/06/23: From American Dream to Orwell's Nightmare
05/23/23: Ukraine war is an existential struggle --- for the West
05/23/23: Learn the Right Midterm Lessons -- or Lose in 2024
05/16/23: Feinstein Today Is Biden Tomorrow
05/09/23: Trump, DeSantis and Political Courtship
05/02/23: RFK Jr.'s Threat to Biden
04/25/23: Biden's Lost Generation
04/25/23: Who's In Charge of Clarence Thomas?
04/11/23: Beyond AI, Our Cyborg Future
04/04/23: 2024: 3 Leaders, 1 Way to Win
03/28/23: Climate Science Makes a Bad Religion
03/21/23: All the Conspiracy That's Fit to Print

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