The ice in Kamala Harris' vaunted blue wall states — Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania — is cracking. The evidence is there in the New York Times/Siena College Polls.
• The cracks began in Georgia where Trump went from a five point deficit to a five point lead.
• Then they spread to Arizona, where a four point Harris lead collapsed into a four point Trump lead.
• Now, cracks are emerging in the blue wall states. The Times reports that Michigan and Wisconsin, where Harris had September leads of four to five in each state, now are dead even tossups.
• Pennsylvania, still dead even, cannot be far behind.
The cracking of the Harris candidacy is due to:
• Her ads that try to blame Trump for the border crisis and just waste her money as she tries to knock on Trump's strongest door.
• Her front-runner strategy of ducking interviews and press conferences while Trump practically devours any camera he sees.
• Her vacuous answers on the economy, endlessly repeating her canned line that she “grew up in a middle class home.”
• The bloom on the rose of her August launch is largely now gone and America can see that the Empress has no clothes.
The truth about this woman who flunked the California Bar (she passed on the second try) is dawning on people: She's not that bright and there is no there there.
She lacks the intellectual ability to pivot and adjust once her well rehearsed script has to change.
Once the blue wall melts, Trump's vote totals will likely soar. This may not be a close race after all.
Look for the former president to carry all the swing states — and to win or close the gap in Virginia and Minnesota (despite Walz), and a host of unlikely states.
The laggard Republican Senate candidates, now running well behind their former president will move into contention and some will doubtless win.
Republicans will supplement their in-the-pocket pick up in West Virginia with an increasingly likely win in Montana. Ohio, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin will be in play. And the GOP leads in the House will become apparent.
New York's Congressman Mike Lawler, who squeaked to victory by one point in 2022, is leading and Trump is carrying his district.
The chance for a really big Republican landslide is increasing. There is nothing the Harris campaign can do with their limited-ability candidate.
A smile only goes so far.