Will MAGA be undone by a creepy, child-beating socialist?

Will the Trump Train derail in the Sunshine State?

Republicans are nervous about keeping Florida's Sixth Congressional District. Former Representative Mike Waltz left this seat to become President Donald J. Trump's national security advisor. (Waltz is now ensnared in the so-called Signalgate matter.) State Senator Randy Fine is running for that post in Tuesday's special election.

Trump walloped Kamala Harris in FL-6 — 64.5% to 34.5%. So, Fine's victory should be a snap. But it's not.

Thanks to Trump's commanding re-election and his relentless reforms since inauguration, Democrats are enraged, powered by hate, and eager to transform their bile into opportunistic electoral victories.

Meanwhile, fat and happy Republicans have been savoring the warm, runny DOGEness of it all. What could go wrong?

Plenty.

In last Tuesday's special election, Democrats snagged a State Senate seat in a Pennsylvania district that voted 57% for Trump in November.

Back in Florida-6, high school math teacher Joshua Weil has converted Democrat fury into $10 million. Fine has gleaned just $987,000. The "smart money" has avoided a seat deemed "too safe to defend."

"What you are seeing in Florida's 6th District is the combined result of Republicans being complacent and Democrats being mad as hell," Jacksonville-based GOP strategist Brian Graham of Americana Advisors, LLC tells me. "The Democrat has outraised the Republican tenfold and has been on TV for weeks with an ability to fund an effective grassroots turnout operation."

Weil has made himself famous. A March 22-25 St. Pete Poll of 403 likely voters found Weil at 44.3% to Fine's 48.3%, well within the 4.9% margin of error. As of Noon Friday, early voter turnout totaled 13.9% non-affiliated, 39.6% Democrat, and 46.5% Republican.

Nothing should be this close in MAGA country.

Still, Fine has advantages.

• FL-6 brims with Republicans. Voter registration is 48.8% GOP, 25.6% Democrat, 22.4% non-affiliated, and 3.1% minor party. All Republicans must do to win is show up.

• Fine comes well-recommended. Atop widespread support among lawmakers in Tallahassee and Washington, D.C., Trump loves Fine. "A Harvard Educated, Successful Businessman, and Highly Respected State Legislator, Randy has been an incredible Voice for MAGA, and the Great People of Florida," Trump crowed via Truth Social on November 23. "Randy Fine has my Complete and Total Endorsement. RUN, RANDY, RUN!"

• In Florida's state legislature, Fine sponsored America's most ambitious expansion of school choice. He chopped taxes, booted illegal aliens, and shielded the Second Amendment, scoring an A from the National Rifle Association.

Fine's far-Left opponent is a self-styled socialist who argues that socialism can "take care of everyone." As a U.S. Senate candidate in 2022, Weil said: "I think ONLY a socialist can win Florida." If elected, his to-do list includes puberty blockers, slavery reparations, and Medicare for All. He also would "end U.S. military aid to Israel."

A Weil victory would electrify demoralized Democrats, just as they were lunging for the vodka and sleeping pills. His win would scare GOP members of both houses and spook the Jell-O-spined among them just enough to imperil the Big Beautiful Bill laden with Trump's tax cuts, energy development, deregulation, and many other promises.

Nevertheless, campaign consultant Brian Graham is cautiously optimistic: "The circumstances are not ideal for Republicans, and the results may be closer than we prefer, but Randy Fine should still win this solidly red seat. Republicans simply have to turn out their base, w

hich has tended to vote closer to or on election day." With so much on the line, Republicans should deploy their biggest guns. Top administration figures should campaign with Fine as Tuesday's vote looms.

President Trump should host an election-eve get-out-the-vote rally to propel Republicans, independents, and thinking Democrats to the polls.

As for grassroots conservatives, "Calling on folks to vote is critical," Fine tells me. Also vital: From the Golden Gate to the Brooklyn Bridge, Trump supporters should visit VoteRandyFine.com and give as if the America First agenda depended on it.

© 2025 Deroy Murdock