From the oral argument last week, it seems clear that the
The arguments in the two cases from
There are, broadly speaking, four principal answers to this question.
The first, which prevails in some 23 states, is that transgender girls (and women) may participate in conformity with their gender identity. Those policies were not directly before the court in the current cases, but they did get some discussion. The reason is that, in separate litigation, the
The appeal of this approach is that it respects the dignity of transgender girls by assigning them to the gender category with which they identify. The downside is that if transgender girls do have biological advantages in strength, size or speed, this approach could undermine the reason we have exclusively girls' sports in the first place, namely, to ensure that girls have athletic opportunities equal to those of boys.
The second approach, followed in 27 states — including
The third approach is the one urged by the lawyers for the transgender girls in the cases before the court: a case-by-case system tailored to individual transgender athletes. Rather than arguing that the state laws in
This middle-ground position would ensure that cisgender girls, as a group, were not disadvantaged by the inclusion of transgender girls in sports.
The legal difficulty that this centrist position faces is that the idea of girls' sports embedded in Title IX itself works on the basis of a highly generalized, non-specific distinction between girls and boys. Some boys are worse at some sports than most girls, but those boys aren't allowed to compete in girls' sports. As a result, the argument for case-by-case eligibility rules for transgender girls ultimately rests on their dignitary interest in having their gender affirmed — an interest that isn't clearly established in federal statutory or constitutional law.
The fourth and final position was espoused by Justice
Who's right? What can be said, I think, is that a society seeking to be morally decent should make a serious effort to recognize the dignity of all its people, especially when doing so doesn't disadvantage anyone else. Setting aside concerns about legal consistency and practical administrability, it seems wrong to deny athletic opportunities to transgender girls in situations where they do not possess any physiological advantage over cisgender girls. As a matter of policy, states ought to adopt the approach sought by the transgender girls' lawyers in this case.
The conservative majority of the justices, however, clearly wasn't convinced that federal law or the
Given that reality, it would be better for the court to adopt Kavanaugh's approach, thereby ensuring that states have the ability to permit transgender girls to participate in girls' sports, rather than using federal law to prohibit that possibility altogether. Judicial restraint is only meaningful if it's applied across the board, not trotted out selectively to prefer policy outcomes the justices favor.
(COMMENT, BELOW)
Noah Feldman, a Bloomberg View columnist, is a professor of constitutional and international law at Harvard University and the author of six books, most recently "Cool War: The Future of Global Competition."

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