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| A last chance for the Mideast?          	
By Richard Z. Chesnoff
 
  NO MATTER HOW HOT it's gotten for the scandal-haunted  
    Clinton demanded new and rapid movement towards a
 final settlement between Israel and the Palestinians.
 That means solid Palestinian steps to crack down on terrorism and
 live up to security commitments countered by substantial new
 Israeli withdrawals from the West Bank -- and soon.
 
     The question is, what's substantial, and how soon? Clinton
 reportedly suggested the Israelis redeploy in stages from an
 additional 15 per cent of the West Bank.  But Netanyahu fears
 that anything Israel gives back now diminishes its bargaining
 position in final-status talks -- which under the Oslo 
 Accords haven't really stared yet. Netanyahu wants final
 status talks to begin in tandem with any new redployment.
 Besides, argues Bibi, thanks to past Israeli withdrawals, the
 Palestinians already control -- alone or jointly with Israel --
 some 27 per cent of the West Bank. That includes all major West
 Bank cities. As for the Gaza Strip, that's almost entirely
 Palestinian-controlled. If Arafat can't harness terrorists in
 these stretches of land, why should Israel give him more?
 
  Then there's the problem of Israel's West Bank settlements.  No
 one should be asking Israel to dismantle major settlements or to
 endanger its survival with a return to its pre-1967 indefensible
 borders. Still, there's a difference between sustaining safe
 borders and gobbling up most of the West bank. And there are real
 settlements -- and not so real settlements. According
 to one map being passed around in the Netantyahu
 camp, every tiny little trailer camp of zealot settlers is to
 become an Israeli enclave. That's ridiculous; 75 per cent of the
 160,000 settlers live in only seven per cent of the West Bank.
 Israel must control that, as well as any other strategic areas
 essential to its security  -- such as parts of the
 Jordan Valley and some of the highlands.
 
    But Netanyahu must show flexibility. There's no doubt he's
 caught in a bind that even Samson would have found hard to break.
 His own government is hanging by a thread. He has to maneuver
 between right-wing extremists and moderates to stay politically
 alive. Already some of his most important coalition partners have
 abandoned him -- including Foreign Minister David Levy, an
 unlikely but still serious dove who felt Bibi wasn't doing enough
 to move peace forward. The Likud coalition's parliamentary
 majority -- never overwhelming -- has now  dropped to one seat!
 
 As David Makovsky, the erudite analyst of the prestigious
 Israel daily Ha'aretz puts it: "Any shmegegy in the Knesset
 could topple Bibi's government."
 
    In the end, that may not be the worst thing that could happen.
 What may emerge  from a new Israeli election is a coalition
 government of both Likud and Labor moderates -- one that could
 move forward with a peace that both guarantees Israeli security
 and reasonably fulfills Palestinan aspirations.
 
  Meanwhile, maybe it's time for Clinton to retreat to Camp David
 with his two Mideast partners and hammer out a deal. It may even
 be one way to keep Lewinskygate at  
 1/11/98: The Moment for Restitution Has Arrived 
 JWR contributor and veteran journalist Richard Z. Chesnoff is a senior correspondent at US News And World Report and a columnist at the NY Daily News. 
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