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Jonathan Tobin: Defending the Right to a Jewish State

Heather Hale: Compliment your kids without giving them big heads

Megan Shauri: 10 ways you are ruining your own happiness

Carolyn Bigda: 8 Best Dividend Stocks for 2015

Kiplinger's Personal Finance editors: 7 Things You Didn't Know About Paying Off Student Loans

Samantha Olson: The Crucial Mistake 55% Of Parents Are Making At Their Baby's Bedtime

Densie Well, Ph.D., R.D. Open your eyes to yellow vegetables

The Kosher Gourmet by Megan Gordon With its colorful cache of purples and oranges and reds, COLLARD GREEN SLAW is a marvelous mood booster --- not to mention just downright delish
April 18, 2014

Rabbi Yonason Goldson: Clarifying one of the greatest philosophical conundrums in theology

Caroline B. Glick: The disappearance of US will

Megan Wallgren: 10 things I've learned from my teenagers

Lizette Borreli: Green Tea Boosts Brain Power, May Help Treat Dementia

John Ericson: Trying hard to be 'positive' but never succeeding? Blame Your Brain

The Kosher Gourmet by Julie Rothman Almondy, flourless torta del re (Italian king's cake), has royal roots, is simple to make, . . . but devour it because it's simply delicious

April 14, 2014

Rabbi Dr Naftali Brawer: Passover frees us from the tyranny of time

Greg Crosby: Passing Over Religion

Eric Schulzke: First degree: How America really recovered from a murder epidemic

Georgia Lee: When love is not enough: Teaching your kids about the realities of adult relationships

Cameron Huddleston: Freebies for Your Lawn and Garden

Gordon Pape: How you can tell if your financial adviser is setting you up for potential ruin

Dana Dovey: Up to 500,000 people die each year from hepatitis C-related liver disease. New Treatment Has Over 90% Success Rate

Justin Caba: Eating Watermelon Can Help Control High Blood Pressure

The Kosher Gourmet by Joshua E. London and Lou Marmon Don't dare pass over these Pesach picks for Manischewitz!

April 11, 2014

Rabbi Hillel Goldberg: Silence is much more than golden

Caroline B. Glick: Forgetting freedom at Passover

Susan Swann: How to value a child for who he is, not just what he does

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Financial Tasks You Should Tackle Right Now

Sandra Block and Lisa Gerstner: How to Profit From Your Passion

Susan Scutti: A Simple Blood Test Might Soon Diagnose Cancer

Chris Weller: Have A Slow Metabolism? Let Science Speed It Up For You

The Kosher Gourmet by Diane Rossen Worthington Whitefish Terrine: A French take on gefilte fish

April 9, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Why Did Kerry Lie About Israeli Blame?

Samuel G. Freedman: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Jessica Ivins: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Kim Giles: Asking for help is not weakness

Kathy Kristof and Barbara Hoch Marcus: 7 Great Growth Israeli Stocks

Matthew Mientka: How Beans, Peas, And Chickpeas Cleanse Bad Cholesterol and Lowers Risk of Heart Disease

Sabrina Bachai: 5 At-Home Treatments For Headaches

The Kosher Gourmet by Daniel Neman Have yourself a matzo ball: The secrets bubby never told you and recipes she could have never imagined

April 8, 2014

Lori Nawyn: At Your Wit's End and Back: Finding Peace

Susan B. Garland and Rachel L. Sheedy: Strategies Married Couples Can Use to Boost Benefits

David Muhlbaum: Smart Tax Deductions Non-Itemizers Can Claim

Jill Weisenberger, M.S., R.D.N., C.D.E : Before You Lose Your Mental Edge

Dana Dovey: Coffee Drinkers Rejoice! Your Cup Of Joe Can Prevent Death From Liver Disease

Chris Weller: Electric 'Thinking Cap' Puts Your Brain Power Into High Gear

The Kosher Gourmet by Marlene Parrish A gift of hazelnuts keeps giving --- for a variety of nutty recipes: Entree, side, soup, dessert

April 4, 2014

Rabbi David Gutterman: The Word for Nothing Means Everything

Charles Krauthammer: Kerry's folly, Chapter 3

Amy Peterson: A life of love: How to build lasting relationships with your children

John Ericson: Older Women: Save Your Heart, Prevent Stroke Don't Drink Diet

John Ericson: Why 50 million Americans will still have spring allergies after taking meds

Cameron Huddleston: Best and Worst Buys of April 2014

Stacy Rapacon: Great Mutual Funds for Young Investors

Sarah Boesveld: Teacher keeps promise to mail thousands of former students letters written by their past selves

The Kosher Gourmet by Sharon Thompson Anyone can make a salad, you say. But can they make a great salad? (SECRETS, TESTED TECHNIQUES + 4 RECIPES, INCLUDING DRESSINGS)

April 2, 2014

Paul Greenberg: Death and joy in the spring

Dan Barry: Should South Carolina Jews be forced to maintain this chimney built by Germans serving the Nazis?

Mayra Bitsko: Save me! An alien took over my child's personality

Frank Clayton: Get happy: 20 scientifically proven happiness activities

Susan Scutti: It's Genetic! Obesity and the 'Carb Breakdown' Gene

Lecia Bushak: Why Hand Sanitizer May Actually Harm Your Health

Stacy Rapacon: Great Funds You Can Own for $500 or Less

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Ways to Save on Home Decor

The Kosher Gourmet by Steve Petusevsky Exploring ingredients as edible-stuffed containers (TWO RECIPES + TIPS & TECHINQUES)

Jewish World Review Nov. 6, 2006 / 15 Mar-Cheshvan, 5767

Hillary's magic number: With a weak opponent and partisan wind at her back, she needs a big victory to boost White House hopes

By Michael Goodwin


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http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | In sports, it's called the over-under. Bettors can place a wager on the number of points scored - betting that the total will either be over or under a number set by the oddsmakers. In the Giants-Texans game today, for example, the over-under is 43 points.


Hillary Clinton has a one woman over-under. She is going to win big Tuesday against what's-his-name in her Senate race, but how big is a big question. The percentage of the vote she gets will be an early sign of her strength as a national candidate. A smashing rout will cement her front-runner status for her party's 2008 presidential nomination.


A modest win, on the other hand, would dent her, especially this year. New York is such a deep blue state and the national anti-GOP mood should add points to her certain landslide over her nobody opponent. Indeed, until Controller Alan Hevesi's chauffeur scandal tightened his race, Dems seemed a lock to sweep all four statewide races by huge margins. So Clinton has no excuse not to win big.


How big is big? Consider that in her 2000 race for the Senate against Rep. Rick Lazio, Clinton pulled 55%. That was a very strong number - the benchmark that defines a landslide in some news organizations. Given that she stumbled at the start and had the pardon scandal and Clinton fatigue against her, the margin surpassed most expectations.


For this race, however, 55% becomes the low parameter. She's got to do much better. The top parameter is 71% - that's what her Senate colleague, Chuck Schumer, got in his reelection bid in 2004. It is the modern record in New York state, and I once heard Clinton flatter and needle Schumer about it, calling him "Old Senator 71%." Given her baggage, even getting close to that record would be an enormous win.


So somewhere between 55% and 71% is where Clinton has to end up. Insiders say her campaign has set a goal of getting at least 60%. That's respectable, but too low. It's a passing score for sure, but it would not a great victory be. If the other guy - okay, his name is John Spencer - gets 40% against her and her millions and her political machine this Democratic year, her 2008 party rivals will smell blood. "She only got 60% in New York against that guy" will be their pitch to potential donors and supporters.


Sixty is also too low now because two polls out Friday both had her at 65%. That's a gain and it follows a blizzard of her ads, mailings and robo phone calls using the likes of Tony Bennett and Robert De Niro. And Spencer blew any chance he had of an impressive showing by attacking her looks. Remember, Hillary always does well when she's the victim. She's now actually approaching Eliot Spitzer's standing in his blowout march to be governor; he stood at 69% in both Friday polls against John Faso.


So what's the over-under on Hillary? As the son of a bookie, and therefore genetically wired on this stuff, I say it's 65%. Anything over that and she wins by a whopping 2-to-1 margin. Less than 65 is still strong, as long as it's not much less. If she slides to 60, it's a letdown. Hardly fatal to her presidential campaign, but not a great start, either.


My bet? I'll take the over. She'll top 65 because she's on a roll and the stars are lined up in her favor. She's so strong, in fact, that "Old Senator 71%" might want to watch his back.

Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in Washington and the media consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.




Michael Goodwin is a Pulitzer Prize-winning columnist for the New York Daily News. Comment by clicking here.


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