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Jewish World Review June 19, 2007 / 3 Tamuz 5767 The wrong game plan: Rudy's terror strategy ignores the fact that offensive tactic failing By Michael Goodwin http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | By naming 12 themes he will campaign on, Rudy Giuliani made a strong move last week to shape the presidential race to his own terms. On security, immigration, taxes, health care and more, Giuliani said where he stands and what he wants to do. Although it is short on detail - each promise gets a single sentence — the list is a handy yardstick for his efforts and a challenge to his rivals. Yet the move also illustrates why most candidates don't get so specific so early: It gives your opponents lots to shoot at. Point No. 1 shows the dangers. "I will keep America on offense in the terrorists' war on us," Giuliani says. With its implicit promise of an aggressive military, along with his call for 100,000 more Army troops, Giuliani might as well put a target on his back. The language play is one he's been using, turning "war on terror" into the "terrorists' war on us." Pledging to stay "on offense" is also familiar turf, with Giuliani saying that "President Bush made the single biggest decision of his presidency correctly. He put us on offense against terrorism." He contrasts that with Democrats, saying they want to play defense only. So far, so good. We didn't start this war and being on offense against Islamic madmen is better than sitting on our butts waiting to be hit at home again. But there's a huge catch to whether the theory will work — the facts — and Giuliani was snagged by them in a nanosecond. What about Iraq? he was asked, a fair question since he ignored it on his list of presidential things to do. "Iraq may get better, Iraq may get worse ... I don't know the answer to that," Giuliani said before warning that regardless, "the terrorists are going to be at war with us." Talk about your fudge factory. Whether Iraq gets better or worse is not an insignificant difference when it comes to finding the best way to fight terrorists. Iraq, after all, is Exhibit A in going on offense. We chose to invade in the first preemptive war in our history. Critics, who now include most Americans and nearly all of the world, argue that the results prove preemption is a bad idea. No President, Giuliani included, is going to have much political legroom to go on offense if Iraq ends up in a bloody tie or defeat. We have thrown our best punch, and all we have to show for it is more than 3,500 of our own dead and an Iraq that has gone from a despot slaughterhouse to a lawless slaughterhouse. That's not the kind of result that will make the American public demand an encore. Sen. Chuck Schumer, making it clear he was not criticizing Giuliani, put it best in an interview. "Terrorism is real, and we do have to be on offense," said the New York Democrat, something of a hawk on foreign policy. "But the charge that anyone who doesn't want to invade another country is doing a disservice to America is being undone by what's happening in Iraq." There are other examples that undermine Giuliani's theory. Israel's vaunted military was stymied in its war against Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the Iranian-backed terror group gained power and prestige as a result. Israeli troops and tanks have been in Gaza repeatedly, only to see Hamas overthrow the government. The bottom line is that nothing has worked in Iraq, Lebanon or Gaza. Not democracy, not diplomacy, not huge amounts of aid or military force have tamed violent extremists bent on establishing Islamic theocracies. And the jury is still out in Afghanistan. That lousy litany is why Democrats won control of Congress and why they hold a 20-point generic lead in public sentiment. Although Giuliani matches up well in polls against Sen. Hillary Clinton, the likely Dem nominee, independent voters and even growing numbers of Republicans now disapprove of Iraq. Without clear progress there, Giuliani might want to call in rewrite. Point No. 1, as it stands, doesn't look like a winner in a nation sick of war. Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in Washington and the media consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here. Michael Goodwin is a Pulitzer Prize-winning columnist for the New York Daily News. Comment by clicking here. Archives © 2007 NY Daily News Distributed by Knight Ridder/Tribune Information Services