In this issue

Jonathan Tobin: Defending the Right to a Jewish State

Heather Hale: Compliment your kids without giving them big heads

Megan Shauri: 10 ways you are ruining your own happiness

Carolyn Bigda: 8 Best Dividend Stocks for 2015

Kiplinger's Personal Finance editors: 7 Things You Didn't Know About Paying Off Student Loans

Samantha Olson: The Crucial Mistake 55% Of Parents Are Making At Their Baby's Bedtime

Densie Well, Ph.D., R.D. Open your eyes to yellow vegetables

The Kosher Gourmet by Megan Gordon With its colorful cache of purples and oranges and reds, COLLARD GREEN SLAW is a marvelous mood booster --- not to mention just downright delish
April 18, 2014

Rabbi Yonason Goldson: Clarifying one of the greatest philosophical conundrums in theology

Caroline B. Glick: The disappearance of US will

Megan Wallgren: 10 things I've learned from my teenagers

Lizette Borreli: Green Tea Boosts Brain Power, May Help Treat Dementia

John Ericson: Trying hard to be 'positive' but never succeeding? Blame Your Brain

The Kosher Gourmet by Julie Rothman Almondy, flourless torta del re (Italian king's cake), has royal roots, is simple to make, . . . but devour it because it's simply delicious

April 14, 2014

Rabbi Dr Naftali Brawer: Passover frees us from the tyranny of time

Greg Crosby: Passing Over Religion

Eric Schulzke: First degree: How America really recovered from a murder epidemic

Georgia Lee: When love is not enough: Teaching your kids about the realities of adult relationships

Cameron Huddleston: Freebies for Your Lawn and Garden

Gordon Pape: How you can tell if your financial adviser is setting you up for potential ruin

Dana Dovey: Up to 500,000 people die each year from hepatitis C-related liver disease. New Treatment Has Over 90% Success Rate

Justin Caba: Eating Watermelon Can Help Control High Blood Pressure

The Kosher Gourmet by Joshua E. London and Lou Marmon Don't dare pass over these Pesach picks for Manischewitz!

April 11, 2014

Rabbi Hillel Goldberg: Silence is much more than golden

Caroline B. Glick: Forgetting freedom at Passover

Susan Swann: How to value a child for who he is, not just what he does

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Financial Tasks You Should Tackle Right Now

Sandra Block and Lisa Gerstner: How to Profit From Your Passion

Susan Scutti: A Simple Blood Test Might Soon Diagnose Cancer

Chris Weller: Have A Slow Metabolism? Let Science Speed It Up For You

The Kosher Gourmet by Diane Rossen Worthington Whitefish Terrine: A French take on gefilte fish

April 9, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Why Did Kerry Lie About Israeli Blame?

Samuel G. Freedman: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Jessica Ivins: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Kim Giles: Asking for help is not weakness

Kathy Kristof and Barbara Hoch Marcus: 7 Great Growth Israeli Stocks

Matthew Mientka: How Beans, Peas, And Chickpeas Cleanse Bad Cholesterol and Lowers Risk of Heart Disease

Sabrina Bachai: 5 At-Home Treatments For Headaches

The Kosher Gourmet by Daniel Neman Have yourself a matzo ball: The secrets bubby never told you and recipes she could have never imagined

April 8, 2014

Lori Nawyn: At Your Wit's End and Back: Finding Peace

Susan B. Garland and Rachel L. Sheedy: Strategies Married Couples Can Use to Boost Benefits

David Muhlbaum: Smart Tax Deductions Non-Itemizers Can Claim

Jill Weisenberger, M.S., R.D.N., C.D.E : Before You Lose Your Mental Edge

Dana Dovey: Coffee Drinkers Rejoice! Your Cup Of Joe Can Prevent Death From Liver Disease

Chris Weller: Electric 'Thinking Cap' Puts Your Brain Power Into High Gear

The Kosher Gourmet by Marlene Parrish A gift of hazelnuts keeps giving --- for a variety of nutty recipes: Entree, side, soup, dessert

April 4, 2014

Rabbi David Gutterman: The Word for Nothing Means Everything

Charles Krauthammer: Kerry's folly, Chapter 3

Amy Peterson: A life of love: How to build lasting relationships with your children

John Ericson: Older Women: Save Your Heart, Prevent Stroke Don't Drink Diet

John Ericson: Why 50 million Americans will still have spring allergies after taking meds

Cameron Huddleston: Best and Worst Buys of April 2014

Stacy Rapacon: Great Mutual Funds for Young Investors

Sarah Boesveld: Teacher keeps promise to mail thousands of former students letters written by their past selves

The Kosher Gourmet by Sharon Thompson Anyone can make a salad, you say. But can they make a great salad? (SECRETS, TESTED TECHNIQUES + 4 RECIPES, INCLUDING DRESSINGS)

April 2, 2014

Paul Greenberg: Death and joy in the spring

Dan Barry: Should South Carolina Jews be forced to maintain this chimney built by Germans serving the Nazis?

Mayra Bitsko: Save me! An alien took over my child's personality

Frank Clayton: Get happy: 20 scientifically proven happiness activities

Susan Scutti: It's Genetic! Obesity and the 'Carb Breakdown' Gene

Lecia Bushak: Why Hand Sanitizer May Actually Harm Your Health

Stacy Rapacon: Great Funds You Can Own for $500 or Less

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Ways to Save on Home Decor

The Kosher Gourmet by Steve Petusevsky Exploring ingredients as edible-stuffed containers (TWO RECIPES + TIPS & TECHINQUES)

Jewish World Review Oct. 13, 2006 / 21 Tishrei, 5767

What Warner's bowing out says about the Dems

By Michael Barone

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http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | Mark Warner announced that he's not running for president. As Prince Metternich asked when informed that the Russian ambassador had suddenly dropped dead, "What can have been his motive?" I suppose it was a calculation that he was just not going to overtake Hillary Rodham Clinton. And that the time, money, and effort required over the next 27 months or so were just not worth it. Warner has a fortune, made after he won a cellphone lottery, but not, I think, a big enough fortune to finance a presidential campaign.

A year ago I thought the Democratic field would pit Clinton against two little-known candidates, Mark Warner on her right and Russ Feingold on her left. Perhaps Warner calculated that there's not enough room on the right to win a Democratic nomination. Certainly, Joe Lieberman's fate in the 2004 race and then in last August's Connecticut Democratic primary tends to support that conclusion. Jimmy Carter could win, in a multicandidate field, in 1976; Bill Clinton, with his spectacular political skills, could win, in a weak field, in 1992; but Mark Warner evidently feels he couldn't win in 2008.

How does this leave the Democratic Party? Instead of Hillary versus two unknown but personally attractive candidates (at least that's how I'd characterize Warner and Feingold), it's looking more like Hillary versus various retreads: John Edwards, Al Gore, John Kerry. I'm inclined to think Kerry will win minimal support, but he seems determined to run. Gore's bitter denunciations of Bush and the Iraq war are evidently popular on the Democratic left. (It's interesting to remember that he ran as the moderate and hawkish Democratic candidate in 1988.)

Edwards seems to do better than Kerry in polls now, but it doesn't seem certain to me that his stump speech is going to enchant the press in the '08 cycle as it did in '04. His shtick on how many Americans live in poverty is going to wear thin. His stump speech includes a line about a little girl whose parents couldn't afford a winter coat.

Give me a break. You can buy a little girl's winter coat at Wal-Mart for $10. That's the price of taking the little girl out to lunch at McDonald's. As Juan Williams points out in his book Enough: The Phony Leaders, Dead-End Movements, and Culture of Failure That Are Undermining Black America—and What We Can Do About It, no one in America is stuck in poverty if he or she does three things: graduates from high school; gets a job, any job; refrains from having children before getting married. Poverty comes not from any structural failure of society but from dysfunctional behaviors. Edwards's poverty shtick is a crock.

But back to the Democratic field. It's beginning to look like a field of well-known candidates all of whom, with the possible exception of Edwards, polarize the electorate along the same lines that we have seen in election after election from 1996 to 2004. And to win the Democratic nomination, each of them will have to appeal to the left-wing, hate-Bush rage that proved dominant in '04. That leaves them in a position where it will be hard to win a much larger percentage of the votes than Al Gore did in '00 and John Kerry in '04–48 percent. Of course, if you add a couple of points to that, you could win. By a narrow margin.

Compare what seems to be the likely Republican field. It's beginning to look like this: John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Bill Frist. The only one of those candidates who seems likely to polarize the electorate along the '96–'04 lines is Frist, and he's the one with the lowest support in the polls. Romney could end up doing so, too. But McCain and Giuliani both clearly have appeal to voters who never considered voting for Bush in '00 or '04. They have the capacity, and Romney may have it too, to go beyond the '96–'04 polarization. And they won't have as much incentive to cater in the primaries to the hard right as Democrats will to cater to their hard left, because McCain and Giuliani enter the cycle ahead in the polls. They also have the advantage, as I point out in a column, voters have some knowledge about how they handle crises and difficulty—more knowledge than they usually have about presidential candidates. They know that John McCain withstood 5½ years of torture and captivity as a prisoner of war. They know how he bounced back from bitter defeat in the '00 primaries. As for Giuliani, you don't have to ask the question, can he handle a crisis? You know the answer.

Mark Warner's withdrawal—if that's what it is—leaves the Republicans in the position of having a field of candidates that is more likely to produce a nominee who can transcend the '96–'04 polarization and win substantial numbers of votes unavailable to his party's nominee in '96, '00, and '04.

Popular vote

George Will has a good column today on Arnold Schwarzenegger's veto of a bill that would have committed California to cast its electoral vote for the popular-vote winner, as soon as states with 270 electoral votes had passed such laws. He points to several adverse effects of having the national popular vote determine the result. I would add one more: It can be difficult to determine who actually won the popular vote. Will points out that John Kennedy in 1960 was credited with winning the popular vote by 118,574 votes, fewer than 1 per precinct. But there's a respectable argument that says that Kennedy didn't win the popular vote. In 1960 Alabama had 11 electoral votes. Under state law, Democratic electors were chosen in the Democratic primary. As it happened, Alabama Democrats chose five electors who voted for Kennedy, the national party's nominee, and six electors who said they would not vote for Kennedy and in fact voted for Sen. Harry Byrd. Voters voted separately for each elector position, and all the Democratic electors won, by very similar margins. Evidently, voters didn't make much distinction between Kennedy and Byrd electors, and the Democratic electors prevailed by margins of about 86,000 votes. But should all of the popular-vote margin be counted for Kennedy? Or should only 5/11 of it be counted for Kennedy? Or should none of it be counted for Kennedy? You could make arguments for any of these alternatives (I'd opt for the first). Opting for the second would give Kennedy a national plurality of 71,627 votes. Opting for the third would give him a national plurality of 32,505.

In a nation with 166,064 precincts, any of the three alternatives would have justified a national recount. In Florida in 2000 we had swarms of lawyers infest the courthouses of 67 counties. Under the rules California's Democratic Legislature wanted, and Schwarzenegger vetoed, we would have had in 1960 swarms of lawyers infest the courthouses of 3,141 counties. There may not have been enough lawyers in the nation for that in 1960. But there are today. Something to think about.

Hurray for Hillary Clinton

That's a headline you haven't seen before in this blog. But I mean it. It's inspired by these excerpts from an interview she held with the editorial board of the Daily News in New York. What do I like about the interview?

No. 1, she avoids the "Bush lied, people died" mantra, which tends to delegitimize our effort in Iraq. Instead, she says, not unreasonably, "We have to deal with the Iraq we have, not the Iraq we wish we had." That sounds to me like someone who is thinking realistically about a responsibility that might be hers starting Jan. 20, 2009.

No. 2, she endorses the idea, which I championed long ago, of an Iraqi oil fund that would distribute part of the state's oil profits in payments to every individual. She says that she recommended it in 2003 and that it was shot down by Dick Cheney–something I've never seen before in print.

"I thought it was something that could demonstrate clearly that we were not on the side of the oil companies, we were not on the side of the ruling elites–we were on the side of the Iraqi people." Yes, exactly! She says that over the past month she has asked the president and deputy prime minister of Iraq and the U.S. ambassador there, "When are you going to get the oil deal done?"

I'm not so positive about her other suggestions–a conference of governments in the region and "phased redeployment" to the peaceful Kurdish north or "just over the horizon in Kuwait." But on the latter the senator is thinking constructively; her argument is that we should let the Iraqis know they have to do more of the fighting. That's a good message to send to the Iraqi government, and one that prudence ought to prompt it to take to heart.

UPDATE: Marc Ambinder of the Political Hotline adds one name to the list of possible Democratic candidates and one I should have thought about immediately: Barack Obama. And Obama, unlike the other Democrats I mentioned, clearly does have the potential to depolarize the electorate and reach across the party lines that have been so solid '96-'04. Warner's withdrawal widens the niche Obama might occupy. And so both parties have the potential to depolarize the electorate.

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The New Americans  

Now, more than ever, the melting pot must be used to keep America great. Barone attacks multiculturalism and anti-American apologists--but he also rejects proposals for building a wall to keep immigrants out, or rounding up millions of illegals to send back home. Rather, the melting pot must be allowed to work (as it has for centuries) to teach new Americans the values, history, and unique spirit of America so they, too, can enjoy the American dream.. Sales help fund JWR.

JWR contributor Michael Barone is a columnist at U.S. News & World Report. Comment by clicking here.

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