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December 2, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Defending the Right to a Jewish State

Heather Hale: Compliment your kids without giving them big heads

Megan Shauri: 10 ways you are ruining your own happiness

Carolyn Bigda: 8 Best Dividend Stocks for 2015

Kiplinger's Personal Finance editors: 7 Things You Didn't Know About Paying Off Student Loans

Samantha Olson: The Crucial Mistake 55% Of Parents Are Making At Their Baby's Bedtime

Densie Well, Ph.D., R.D. Open your eyes to yellow vegetables

The Kosher Gourmet by Megan Gordon With its colorful cache of purples and oranges and reds, COLLARD GREEN SLAW is a marvelous mood booster --- not to mention just downright delish
April 18, 2014

Rabbi Yonason Goldson: Clarifying one of the greatest philosophical conundrums in theology

Caroline B. Glick: The disappearance of US will

Megan Wallgren: 10 things I've learned from my teenagers

Lizette Borreli: Green Tea Boosts Brain Power, May Help Treat Dementia

John Ericson: Trying hard to be 'positive' but never succeeding? Blame Your Brain

The Kosher Gourmet by Julie Rothman Almondy, flourless torta del re (Italian king's cake), has royal roots, is simple to make, . . . but devour it because it's simply delicious

April 14, 2014

Rabbi Dr Naftali Brawer: Passover frees us from the tyranny of time

Greg Crosby: Passing Over Religion

Eric Schulzke: First degree: How America really recovered from a murder epidemic

Georgia Lee: When love is not enough: Teaching your kids about the realities of adult relationships

Cameron Huddleston: Freebies for Your Lawn and Garden

Gordon Pape: How you can tell if your financial adviser is setting you up for potential ruin

Dana Dovey: Up to 500,000 people die each year from hepatitis C-related liver disease. New Treatment Has Over 90% Success Rate

Justin Caba: Eating Watermelon Can Help Control High Blood Pressure

The Kosher Gourmet by Joshua E. London and Lou Marmon Don't dare pass over these Pesach picks for Manischewitz!

April 11, 2014

Rabbi Hillel Goldberg: Silence is much more than golden

Caroline B. Glick: Forgetting freedom at Passover

Susan Swann: How to value a child for who he is, not just what he does

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Financial Tasks You Should Tackle Right Now

Sandra Block and Lisa Gerstner: How to Profit From Your Passion

Susan Scutti: A Simple Blood Test Might Soon Diagnose Cancer

Chris Weller: Have A Slow Metabolism? Let Science Speed It Up For You

The Kosher Gourmet by Diane Rossen Worthington Whitefish Terrine: A French take on gefilte fish

April 9, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Why Did Kerry Lie About Israeli Blame?

Samuel G. Freedman: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Jessica Ivins: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Kim Giles: Asking for help is not weakness

Kathy Kristof and Barbara Hoch Marcus: 7 Great Growth Israeli Stocks

Matthew Mientka: How Beans, Peas, And Chickpeas Cleanse Bad Cholesterol and Lowers Risk of Heart Disease

Sabrina Bachai: 5 At-Home Treatments For Headaches

The Kosher Gourmet by Daniel Neman Have yourself a matzo ball: The secrets bubby never told you and recipes she could have never imagined

April 8, 2014

Lori Nawyn: At Your Wit's End and Back: Finding Peace

Susan B. Garland and Rachel L. Sheedy: Strategies Married Couples Can Use to Boost Benefits

David Muhlbaum: Smart Tax Deductions Non-Itemizers Can Claim

Jill Weisenberger, M.S., R.D.N., C.D.E : Before You Lose Your Mental Edge

Dana Dovey: Coffee Drinkers Rejoice! Your Cup Of Joe Can Prevent Death From Liver Disease

Chris Weller: Electric 'Thinking Cap' Puts Your Brain Power Into High Gear

The Kosher Gourmet by Marlene Parrish A gift of hazelnuts keeps giving --- for a variety of nutty recipes: Entree, side, soup, dessert

April 4, 2014

Rabbi David Gutterman: The Word for Nothing Means Everything

Charles Krauthammer: Kerry's folly, Chapter 3

Amy Peterson: A life of love: How to build lasting relationships with your children

John Ericson: Older Women: Save Your Heart, Prevent Stroke Don't Drink Diet

John Ericson: Why 50 million Americans will still have spring allergies after taking meds

Cameron Huddleston: Best and Worst Buys of April 2014

Stacy Rapacon: Great Mutual Funds for Young Investors

Sarah Boesveld: Teacher keeps promise to mail thousands of former students letters written by their past selves

The Kosher Gourmet by Sharon Thompson Anyone can make a salad, you say. But can they make a great salad? (SECRETS, TESTED TECHNIQUES + 4 RECIPES, INCLUDING DRESSINGS)

April 2, 2014

Paul Greenberg: Death and joy in the spring

Dan Barry: Should South Carolina Jews be forced to maintain this chimney built by Germans serving the Nazis?

Mayra Bitsko: Save me! An alien took over my child's personality

Frank Clayton: Get happy: 20 scientifically proven happiness activities

Susan Scutti: It's Genetic! Obesity and the 'Carb Breakdown' Gene

Lecia Bushak: Why Hand Sanitizer May Actually Harm Your Health

Stacy Rapacon: Great Funds You Can Own for $500 or Less

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Ways to Save on Home Decor

The Kosher Gourmet by Steve Petusevsky Exploring ingredients as edible-stuffed containers (TWO RECIPES + TIPS & TECHINQUES)

Jewish World Review January 10, 2008 / 3 Shevat 5768

New Hampshire fallout

By Michael Barone


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http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | A very interesting night at the Fox News Decision Desk in New York. I had expected New Hampshire to vote, as I put it to an E-mail correspondent, "Obama big, McCain close with a nontrivial chance of Romney." This was a pretty reasonable extrapolation from the preprimary polls for the Democrats and the Republicans. It turned out that the Republican numbers (John McCain 32, Mitt Romney 28) were not far from the mark; the final score was McCain over Romney 37 to 32. But the Democratic numbers were way off. Hillary Clinton led Barack Obama 39 to 37 percent. Obama got a little less than his 38 percent average in the polls, Clinton far more than her 30 average.


Fox was able to call the Republican race not long after 8 p.m. — rather earlier than I expected. The numbers lined up in predictable ways, with McCain running behind his 2000 performance, when he beat George W. Bush 48 to 30 percent here but not enough so as to leave the subject in doubt. Romney carried cities and towns on and near the Massachusetts border, whose residents (or at least their Republican primary voting residents) don't want to make Massachusetts more like New Hampshire but vice versa. But McCain carried (at least with nine of 12 wards reporting) Manchester and won big margins in the more outlying parts of the state.


Where does the Republican race go from here? One answer is to Michigan, which votes next Tuesday. There's no Democratic contest there: The Democratic National Committee forbade its candidates from competing, out of deference to that provision of the Constitution (which I've never managed to find in the text) saying that Iowa and New Hampshire vote first by several days if not several weeks; Obama's and John Edwards's names are off the ballots, while Clinton's is still on. She won't get credit (or, in the short run, delegates) for a big win but could be hurt a bit if there are a lot of Obama (or, more unlikely, Edwards) write-ins cast against her.


The important point here is that there will be a large body of self-identified independents and Democrats with a motive to vote in the Republican primary. Not as many as in 2000, I suspect, when 40 percent of Republican primary voters were self-identified independents, and an astonishing 20 percent were self-identified Democrats. There was a dynamic going on there then that is not present now. Incumbent Gov. John Engler, after 10 years of successfully smashing Democrats, was supporting George W. Bush and clearly lusting after a high position in a Bush 43 administration. His Democratic enemies, many in number, saw a way of denying it to him: vote for McCain, who in any case was to many of them an attractive figure on his own merits. So they did. But Engler is now long departed from Michigan, and McCain cannot depend on this constituency this time. Indeed, his 2008 percentage in New Hampshire (37 percent) was visibly lower than his 2000 percentage there (48, against fewer serious candidates). In any case, McCain has serious claims on the votes of Michigan Republicans, as does Romney, whose father was governor from 1963 to 1968. It will be an interesting contest in a state that has never found a satisfying middle ground between holding a primary (there is no party registration) and holding something in the nature of a caucus.


The dynamic I see in the Republican race is this: Five candidates have reason, from their own points of view, to continue their candidacies and no motive to stop anytime soon:


  • Mike Huckabee won the Iowa caucuses and has some reasonable prospects in South Carolina on January 19.

  • Romney, having won "the silver" in Iowa and New Hampshire and being in possession of a checkbook with $50 million in liquid funds, will contest Michigan and has no motive not to continue if he doesn't win there.

  • McCain, celebrating his win in New Hampshire, gave a speech that was in the nature of accepting the mantle of national leadership, and plausibly so.

  • Fred Thompson, absent from tonight's television but fresh from a fine appearance on Fox News's Sunday night debate, has no motive to withdraw to private life.

  • Nor does Rudy Giuliani, whose sterling policy achievements and unforgettable leadership after the September 11 attacks may still resonate as they did in the first half of 2007 but have not, at least in presidential polls, in the past two months.


So on we go, to Michigan on January 15, South Carolina and Nevada on January 19, Florida on January 29, and 22 states on February 5. I wrote a few days ago that there were 60 scenarios for the Republican nomination. I think we're down to about 52 — down but not out.

Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.

BARONE'S LATEST
The New Americans  

Now, more than ever, the melting pot must be used to keep America great. Barone attacks multiculturalism and anti-American apologists--but he also rejects proposals for building a wall to keep immigrants out, or rounding up millions of illegals to send back home. Rather, the melting pot must be allowed to work (as it has for centuries) to teach new Americans the values, history, and unique spirit of America so they, too, can enjoy the American dream.. Sales help fund JWR.

JWR contributor Michael Barone is a columnist at U.S. News & World Report. Comment by clicking here.




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