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Jonathan Tobin: Defending the Right to a Jewish State

Heather Hale: Compliment your kids without giving them big heads

Megan Shauri: 10 ways you are ruining your own happiness

Carolyn Bigda: 8 Best Dividend Stocks for 2015

Kiplinger's Personal Finance editors: 7 Things You Didn't Know About Paying Off Student Loans

Samantha Olson: The Crucial Mistake 55% Of Parents Are Making At Their Baby's Bedtime

Densie Well, Ph.D., R.D. Open your eyes to yellow vegetables

The Kosher Gourmet by Megan Gordon With its colorful cache of purples and oranges and reds, COLLARD GREEN SLAW is a marvelous mood booster --- not to mention just downright delish
April 18, 2014

Rabbi Yonason Goldson: Clarifying one of the greatest philosophical conundrums in theology

Caroline B. Glick: The disappearance of US will

Megan Wallgren: 10 things I've learned from my teenagers

Lizette Borreli: Green Tea Boosts Brain Power, May Help Treat Dementia

John Ericson: Trying hard to be 'positive' but never succeeding? Blame Your Brain

The Kosher Gourmet by Julie Rothman Almondy, flourless torta del re (Italian king's cake), has royal roots, is simple to make, . . . but devour it because it's simply delicious

April 14, 2014

Rabbi Dr Naftali Brawer: Passover frees us from the tyranny of time

Greg Crosby: Passing Over Religion

Eric Schulzke: First degree: How America really recovered from a murder epidemic

Georgia Lee: When love is not enough: Teaching your kids about the realities of adult relationships

Cameron Huddleston: Freebies for Your Lawn and Garden

Gordon Pape: How you can tell if your financial adviser is setting you up for potential ruin

Dana Dovey: Up to 500,000 people die each year from hepatitis C-related liver disease. New Treatment Has Over 90% Success Rate

Justin Caba: Eating Watermelon Can Help Control High Blood Pressure

The Kosher Gourmet by Joshua E. London and Lou Marmon Don't dare pass over these Pesach picks for Manischewitz!

April 11, 2014

Rabbi Hillel Goldberg: Silence is much more than golden

Caroline B. Glick: Forgetting freedom at Passover

Susan Swann: How to value a child for who he is, not just what he does

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Financial Tasks You Should Tackle Right Now

Sandra Block and Lisa Gerstner: How to Profit From Your Passion

Susan Scutti: A Simple Blood Test Might Soon Diagnose Cancer

Chris Weller: Have A Slow Metabolism? Let Science Speed It Up For You

The Kosher Gourmet by Diane Rossen Worthington Whitefish Terrine: A French take on gefilte fish

April 9, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Why Did Kerry Lie About Israeli Blame?

Samuel G. Freedman: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Jessica Ivins: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Kim Giles: Asking for help is not weakness

Kathy Kristof and Barbara Hoch Marcus: 7 Great Growth Israeli Stocks

Matthew Mientka: How Beans, Peas, And Chickpeas Cleanse Bad Cholesterol and Lowers Risk of Heart Disease

Sabrina Bachai: 5 At-Home Treatments For Headaches

The Kosher Gourmet by Daniel Neman Have yourself a matzo ball: The secrets bubby never told you and recipes she could have never imagined

April 8, 2014

Lori Nawyn: At Your Wit's End and Back: Finding Peace

Susan B. Garland and Rachel L. Sheedy: Strategies Married Couples Can Use to Boost Benefits

David Muhlbaum: Smart Tax Deductions Non-Itemizers Can Claim

Jill Weisenberger, M.S., R.D.N., C.D.E : Before You Lose Your Mental Edge

Dana Dovey: Coffee Drinkers Rejoice! Your Cup Of Joe Can Prevent Death From Liver Disease

Chris Weller: Electric 'Thinking Cap' Puts Your Brain Power Into High Gear

The Kosher Gourmet by Marlene Parrish A gift of hazelnuts keeps giving --- for a variety of nutty recipes: Entree, side, soup, dessert

April 4, 2014

Rabbi David Gutterman: The Word for Nothing Means Everything

Charles Krauthammer: Kerry's folly, Chapter 3

Amy Peterson: A life of love: How to build lasting relationships with your children

John Ericson: Older Women: Save Your Heart, Prevent Stroke Don't Drink Diet

John Ericson: Why 50 million Americans will still have spring allergies after taking meds

Cameron Huddleston: Best and Worst Buys of April 2014

Stacy Rapacon: Great Mutual Funds for Young Investors

Sarah Boesveld: Teacher keeps promise to mail thousands of former students letters written by their past selves

The Kosher Gourmet by Sharon Thompson Anyone can make a salad, you say. But can they make a great salad? (SECRETS, TESTED TECHNIQUES + 4 RECIPES, INCLUDING DRESSINGS)

April 2, 2014

Paul Greenberg: Death and joy in the spring

Dan Barry: Should South Carolina Jews be forced to maintain this chimney built by Germans serving the Nazis?

Mayra Bitsko: Save me! An alien took over my child's personality

Frank Clayton: Get happy: 20 scientifically proven happiness activities

Susan Scutti: It's Genetic! Obesity and the 'Carb Breakdown' Gene

Lecia Bushak: Why Hand Sanitizer May Actually Harm Your Health

Stacy Rapacon: Great Funds You Can Own for $500 or Less

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Ways to Save on Home Decor

The Kosher Gourmet by Steve Petusevsky Exploring ingredients as edible-stuffed containers (TWO RECIPES + TIPS & TECHINQUES)

Jewish World Review Sept. 12, 2007 / 29 Elul, 5767

Alas, GOP seems set to take hit in Senate

By Jonathan V. Last


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http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | You know your party is in trouble when one of its senators is caught allegedly pulling a George Michael in an airport restroom, he's forced to (sort of) resign, then says he didn't mean it, and that's only the second-worst news of the week.


The bigger problem Republicans faced was the news that Sen. John W. Warner of Virginia would not seek reelection. The 2008 election is a long way off, and events are always unpredictable. But in a close presidential election, Democrats could make large gains in the Senate this cycle. And if the Democratic presidential nominee breaks open the race, forces are in motion for a genuine realignment.


As things stand now, Democrats have a 51-49 edge in the Senate. (There are only 49 Democrats, but independents Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders vote with the Dems.) In November 2008, 34 Senate seats will be up for election; 22 of those are Republican seats, and only 12 are held by Democrats. The math is brutal enough, but when you look more closely at the races, the news gets even worse for Republicans.


Take Virginia: The reason Warner's retirement was such bad news for Republicans is that this once-Red State is getting bluer every year. Virginians tossed out George Allen - who was considered, by conservatives, presidential material once upon a time - for newly minted Democrat Jim Webb in 2006. The state's current governor, Democrat Tim Kaine, succeeded another successful Democrat, Mark Warner.


The only hope for Republicans is that at the presidential level, George W. Bush received 52 percent of the Virginia vote in 2000 and 54 percent in 2004. Waiting in the wings to try to hold the Senate seat for Republicans are former Gov. Jim Gilmore, who just dropped out of the presidential race - What? You forgot he was ever in it? - and Eric Cantor, a fourth-term representative from Richmond's Seventh District.


(From a Republican strategist's view, Sen. Warner's retirement is all the more tragic because it means that his wavering on Iraq and attempts to distance himself from Bush and the war ultimately served no practical political purpose.)


Republican Sen. Wayne Allard's retirement leaves a seat open in Colorado, another state that has been trending Democratic. Democrats won four of the state's seven congressional districts in 2006 as well as the governorship.


Those are the only two open seats, but going around the horn, some Republican incumbents seem vulnerable. In Minnesota, Norm Coleman is up for reelection in a state that is increasingly Democratic. Coleman has been a solid senator, but in a liberal state, during a wave election, he certainly isn't safe.


New Hampshire was a heavily Republican state as recently as 2000, but that's changing, and Sen. John Sununu's seat may be in play. Al Gore lost New Hampshire, but John Kerry won the Granite State in 2004; in 2006, Democratic challengers unseated both of the Republican incumbent representatives while the Democratic governor rolled to reelection by nearly 50 points.


In North Carolina, Sen. Elizabeth Dole's numbers are less than inspiring: Two recent polls put her approval rating in the 48 percent to 52 percent range. Also, she began 2007 with only $245,000 in her campaign war chest. The Hotline's Chuck Todd and Quinn McCord, two of the sharpest election watchers in Washington, note that while Republicans have good presidential chances in North Carolina, Democrats are poised to take most of the other statewide races.


Alaska probably isn't in play, but Sen. Ted Stevens is embroiled in all sorts of nonpolitical trouble: FBI and IRS agents raided his house in July as part of a corruption case. The investigation is still on, not a good backdrop for a campaign.


Arrayed against these vulnerable Republicans, only one Democratic senator, Louisiana's Mary Landrieu, looks weak. So many Democratic voters fled the state after Katrina that the political deck in the bayou is now stacked in favor of Republicans. Things are so bad for Louisiana Democrats that the popular Democratic state treasurer, John Kennedy, just switched parties and may wind up as Landrieu's challenger.


What will the final math look like? If the Democrats sweep to a broad presidential victory, they could wind up with something like 58 seats (with some combination of Oregon, New Mexico and Maine also coming into play). But even in a close presidential race, they might gain three or four seats.


For Republicans, that electoral reality is ominous enough to make them yearn for a simple anonymous, gay, bathroom sex scandal.

Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.

Jonathan V. Last is a columnist for the Philadelphia Inquirer. Comment by clicking here.


Previously:

08/30/07 Europeans have supplanted backbones with capitulation
08/24/07 Politics holds the key to ensuring a healthy growth in population
08/17/07 Finessing the Democratic center
08/10/07 Woohoo! Satire seeing a revival
07/31/07 Historical model: For Obama, it's Carter
07/26/07 Baseball, apple pie, a 2nd chance
07/24/07 Harry Potter and the alchemy theory
07/06/07 Life is hard — and often short. The perils of professional wrestling
06/21/07 After Bush: Gingrich and others worry that his shortcomings could have a far-reaching effect on the GOP
03/09/07 Why the British outclass us in acting
01/23/07 Romney: Seriously great, but with baggage
12/23/06 When truth is transpicuous
12/05/06 A realistic plan: Split the country in two
11/08/06 We could easily pull out of Korea and let China have regional hegemony. But would it be the right thing?
10/24/06 The decline of revolution
10/18/06 Why the free market is king
08/07/06 Democracy, of itself, not solution to all problems
08/01/06 We get the movies we deserve
07/27/06 How long will U.S. empire last?


© 2006, The Philadelphia Inquirer. Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.

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