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Jonathan Tobin: Defending the Right to a Jewish State

Heather Hale: Compliment your kids without giving them big heads

Megan Shauri: 10 ways you are ruining your own happiness

Carolyn Bigda: 8 Best Dividend Stocks for 2015

Kiplinger's Personal Finance editors: 7 Things You Didn't Know About Paying Off Student Loans

Samantha Olson: The Crucial Mistake 55% Of Parents Are Making At Their Baby's Bedtime

Densie Well, Ph.D., R.D. Open your eyes to yellow vegetables

The Kosher Gourmet by Megan Gordon With its colorful cache of purples and oranges and reds, COLLARD GREEN SLAW is a marvelous mood booster --- not to mention just downright delish
April 18, 2014

Rabbi Yonason Goldson: Clarifying one of the greatest philosophical conundrums in theology

Caroline B. Glick: The disappearance of US will

Megan Wallgren: 10 things I've learned from my teenagers

Lizette Borreli: Green Tea Boosts Brain Power, May Help Treat Dementia

John Ericson: Trying hard to be 'positive' but never succeeding? Blame Your Brain

The Kosher Gourmet by Julie Rothman Almondy, flourless torta del re (Italian king's cake), has royal roots, is simple to make, . . . but devour it because it's simply delicious

April 14, 2014

Rabbi Dr Naftali Brawer: Passover frees us from the tyranny of time

Greg Crosby: Passing Over Religion

Eric Schulzke: First degree: How America really recovered from a murder epidemic

Georgia Lee: When love is not enough: Teaching your kids about the realities of adult relationships

Cameron Huddleston: Freebies for Your Lawn and Garden

Gordon Pape: How you can tell if your financial adviser is setting you up for potential ruin

Dana Dovey: Up to 500,000 people die each year from hepatitis C-related liver disease. New Treatment Has Over 90% Success Rate

Justin Caba: Eating Watermelon Can Help Control High Blood Pressure

The Kosher Gourmet by Joshua E. London and Lou Marmon Don't dare pass over these Pesach picks for Manischewitz!

April 11, 2014

Rabbi Hillel Goldberg: Silence is much more than golden

Caroline B. Glick: Forgetting freedom at Passover

Susan Swann: How to value a child for who he is, not just what he does

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Financial Tasks You Should Tackle Right Now

Sandra Block and Lisa Gerstner: How to Profit From Your Passion

Susan Scutti: A Simple Blood Test Might Soon Diagnose Cancer

Chris Weller: Have A Slow Metabolism? Let Science Speed It Up For You

The Kosher Gourmet by Diane Rossen Worthington Whitefish Terrine: A French take on gefilte fish

April 9, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Why Did Kerry Lie About Israeli Blame?

Samuel G. Freedman: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Jessica Ivins: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Kim Giles: Asking for help is not weakness

Kathy Kristof and Barbara Hoch Marcus: 7 Great Growth Israeli Stocks

Matthew Mientka: How Beans, Peas, And Chickpeas Cleanse Bad Cholesterol and Lowers Risk of Heart Disease

Sabrina Bachai: 5 At-Home Treatments For Headaches

The Kosher Gourmet by Daniel Neman Have yourself a matzo ball: The secrets bubby never told you and recipes she could have never imagined

April 8, 2014

Lori Nawyn: At Your Wit's End and Back: Finding Peace

Susan B. Garland and Rachel L. Sheedy: Strategies Married Couples Can Use to Boost Benefits

David Muhlbaum: Smart Tax Deductions Non-Itemizers Can Claim

Jill Weisenberger, M.S., R.D.N., C.D.E : Before You Lose Your Mental Edge

Dana Dovey: Coffee Drinkers Rejoice! Your Cup Of Joe Can Prevent Death From Liver Disease

Chris Weller: Electric 'Thinking Cap' Puts Your Brain Power Into High Gear

The Kosher Gourmet by Marlene Parrish A gift of hazelnuts keeps giving --- for a variety of nutty recipes: Entree, side, soup, dessert

April 4, 2014

Rabbi David Gutterman: The Word for Nothing Means Everything

Charles Krauthammer: Kerry's folly, Chapter 3

Amy Peterson: A life of love: How to build lasting relationships with your children

John Ericson: Older Women: Save Your Heart, Prevent Stroke Don't Drink Diet

John Ericson: Why 50 million Americans will still have spring allergies after taking meds

Cameron Huddleston: Best and Worst Buys of April 2014

Stacy Rapacon: Great Mutual Funds for Young Investors

Sarah Boesveld: Teacher keeps promise to mail thousands of former students letters written by their past selves

The Kosher Gourmet by Sharon Thompson Anyone can make a salad, you say. But can they make a great salad? (SECRETS, TESTED TECHNIQUES + 4 RECIPES, INCLUDING DRESSINGS)

April 2, 2014

Paul Greenberg: Death and joy in the spring

Dan Barry: Should South Carolina Jews be forced to maintain this chimney built by Germans serving the Nazis?

Mayra Bitsko: Save me! An alien took over my child's personality

Frank Clayton: Get happy: 20 scientifically proven happiness activities

Susan Scutti: It's Genetic! Obesity and the 'Carb Breakdown' Gene

Lecia Bushak: Why Hand Sanitizer May Actually Harm Your Health

Stacy Rapacon: Great Funds You Can Own for $500 or Less

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Ways to Save on Home Decor

The Kosher Gourmet by Steve Petusevsky Exploring ingredients as edible-stuffed containers (TWO RECIPES + TIPS & TECHINQUES)

Jewish World Review Feb. 18, 2008 / 12 Adar I 5768

GOP will unify as Obama and Clinton continue to vie

By Jonathan V. Last


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http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | Super Tuesday? The circus has already moved on, with voting in Kansas and Louisiana on Saturday and a Democratic primary in Maine on Sunday. Maryland, Washington, D.C.; and Virginia vote Tuesday. The primary process is a remorseless eating machine.

Nonetheless, it's worth dwelling for a moment on Super Tuesday because its results give us a clearer picture than this weekend does. Also, because Super Tuesday was one of those rare nights where almost everybody was able to walk away happy. It's a win-win-win! So let's run down all the "winners":

John McCain: Only an act of God can stop him from winning the Republican nomination. In exit polls, he showed strength in all regions and across all bands - even among self-identified conservatives.

Mike Huckabee: He has done more with less than any presidential candidate in the last 20 years. Elite conservatives in print, talk radio, and on the blogs spent a week trying to tear down McCain and present Mitt Romney as the conservative alternative. But Huckabee did almost as well as Romney, on a campaign so cheap it won't run out of money. But he is going to run out of Southern states.

Hillary Clinton: Her traditional Democratic coalition continues to build. Originally composed of women, union voters, Catholics, and people making less than $50,000 a year, it now includes Hispanic voters. For some reason, the media keep predicting Obama blowouts, but Clinton keeps turning in solid electoral results. She won a crushing victory in California while also taking a Southern border-state (Tennessee) and Ted Kennedy's Massachusetts. Consider: Had Obama not won Iowa, his campaign would be hanging by a thread today. As it is, Clinton remains the mild favorite and probably has more room for opportunistic growth.

Barack Obama: Tuesday was never going to be a great day for him, but it could have been a disaster. His one-point win in Missouri was critically important because it showed he could beat Clinton in a toss-up state. Obama has created a coalition for himself of upscale white liberals and African American voters. Think of it as Bill Bradley-Plus. That's not a knock: You can go far in a Democratic primary with that support. But without some other coalition partners, it probably isn't big enough in the long term. He needs to expand if he wants to triumph.

The good news for Obama is that there will be a long run and he has the money to play.

Democrats: Look at their raw vote totals from Tuesday. In very "red" states such as Georgia, Alabama and Tennessee, Democrats ran even or ahead of Republicans in total votes. In middle-of-the-road Missouri, Democrats had better than a 4-3 advantage, a very good sign for them. The topography of 2008 suggests that Democrats have good ground on which to fight. And their candidates aren't bad, either.

Republicans: Here's the good news: They're going to nominate the guy who runs best against Democrats in every poll taken so far.

Such "theoretical" matchups can measure two things: name recognition and solidity of a campaign. Forget name recognition: McCain, Clinton and Obama are all well-known. But McCain's campaign is sound indeed. He will put immense pressure on independents and Hispanics. He should run extremely well with men. And his trump card is that he's the only person in the race who was right from the very start on what should be the defining difference in the campaign: Iraq.

The question for the general election will be whether McCain's advantages as a candidate can overcome the Democrats' general advantages in political terrain: a troubled economy, two wars, Bush fatigue, and a slew of vacated Republican Senate seats.

There were only two losers on Tuesday, and it's never nice to gloat, so let's dispense with them quickly:

Mitt Romney: He's gone. Everyone in America should have seen it coming. Mick Huckabee showed Romney - indeed, showed the world - how to squeeze the most return from his campaign buck. Romney, in getting absolutely awful return, in dollars per vote, for his millions, joins the list of candidates such as Jon Corzine in his 2000 Senate campaign - or Michael Bloomberg, who spent almost $69 million of his own money to win 744,757 votes in 2001.

The media: Here's a secret: Opinion journalists - talk-radio hosts, op-ed columnists, bloggers, and the like, left, right, mainstream, wacky - don't influence voter behavior. We can entertain and inform. At our best, we can help shape ideas. But we can't push a button or make voters make an X.

Two paths are diverging in the woods. The Republicans will begin mopping up and unifying the party over the next few weeks. The Democrats are in for a protracted and probably unpleasant fight that should go through April. (It could get personal, because the actual policy differences between the two candidates are so small.)

In the near term, Obama is poised to have a good couple of weeks, since he's likely to get Maryland, the District of Columbia, and Washington state. Clinton can look forward to competing hard in Virginia and Wisconsin. It will be nearly a month of skirmishing before the next big crossroads, Ohio and Texas.

And don't look now, but the Pennsylvania primary on April 22 might not only be important - it could decide the race.

Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.

Jonathan V. Last is a columnist for the Philadelphia Inquirer. Comment by clicking here.


Previously:

12/13/07 Fun begins as races tighten and shift
12/05/07 Iran's future: Would lower fertility rates lead to stability?
11/01/07 Nobel Prize in Economics — where Team USA still dominates the game
10/25/07 Handicapping the GOP's presidential horse race
10/11/07 Germany's Turks provide a lesson on immigration
09/13/07 British battle can offer us a perspective on casualties
09/12/07 Alas, GOP seems set to take hit in Senate
08/30/07 Europeans have supplanted backbones with capitulation
08/24/07 Politics holds the key to ensuring a healthy growth in population
08/17/07 Finessing the Democratic center
08/10/07 Woohoo! Satire seeing a revival
07/31/07 Historical model: For Obama, it's Carter
07/26/07 Baseball, apple pie, a 2nd chance
07/24/07 Harry Potter and the alchemy theory
07/06/07 Life is hard — and often short. The perils of professional wrestling
06/21/07 After Bush: Gingrich and others worry that his shortcomings could have a far-reaching effect on the GOP
03/09/07 Why the British outclass us in acting
01/23/07 Romney: Seriously great, but with baggage
12/23/06 When truth is transpicuous
12/05/06 A realistic plan: Split the country in two
11/08/06 We could easily pull out of Korea and let China have regional hegemony. But would it be the right thing?
10/24/06 The decline of revolution
10/18/06 Why the free market is king
08/07/06 Democracy, of itself, not solution to all problems
08/01/06 We get the movies we deserve
07/27/06 How long will U.S. empire last?


© 2006, The Philadelphia Inquirer. Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.

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