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McDonnell: Think Israel's objective in Syria is to weaken Assad or embolden the rebels? Think again Brian Bennett: Israeli airstrikes may show weakness in Syrian defense Michael Ollove: Millions of ex-felons, parolees and those on probation are about to be entitled to tax-payer paid health coverage Karen Kaplan: Most men can skip PSA test for prostate cancer, urologists say Kimberly Lankford: How to track down a lost life insurance policy Dream of Mars exploration achievable, experts say The Kosher Gourmet by Susan M. 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Jewish World Review Oct. 4, 2012/ 18 Tishrei, 5773 Civil War in the GOP Could Go Nuclear on Nov 7 By Bernard Goldberg http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | Are the polls rigged? It's a question we're hearing a lot lately — almost always by conservative Republicans. It's no secret that a lot of the polls weight Democrats more heavily than Republicans. In and of itself, that's not necessarily a problem — unless the over-weighting is based on faulty assumptions about voter turnout. So when pollsters use 2008 voter turnout as their model in 2012, alarms should go off. Do the pollsters really think that Barack Obama will draw the same big numbers from young voters as he did four years ago? Or from Hispanic voters? Or even from black voters? Not likely. Pat Caddell, who ran the polling operation for Jimmy Carter, says not only is the polling science bad this time around, he thinks the polls really are rigged — often by the same news organizations that have been running interference for Barack Obama and are clearly rooting for him to win. Caddell is no conservative Republican. He is a smart guy and shouldn't be written off as a partisan political hack. Anyone using 2008 as a model should know better, he says. And if they still use it, malice may very well be involved. But let's wait to see how things turn out. If the polls wind up being right, no problem. If they wind up being way off and Mitt Romney wins, there needs to be some kind of investigation. The problem is we probably won't get it from those supposedly impartial observers in the media. Expecting President Obama's most loyal base — journalists — to do their job, unfortunately, is asking a lot — especially if their own news organizations conducted the faulty polls. What if Romney loses? If that happens the civil war that has been brewing for years in the Republican Party will go nuclear. Conservatives" on talk radio and the Fox News Channel will say we went with McCain — a moderate — four years ago and lost. Then we went with Romney — another moderate — and lost again. Now it's time for "a real conservative." And by that, they will mean the most conservative candidate running. After all, they'll say, Ronald Reagan was a real conservative and he won. What these true believers don't seem to understand is that being the most conservative candidate in the field may be a recipe for losing yet again. If the most conservative candidate is a religious fanatic, for example, he or she will lose. If the most conservative candidate divides the nation with fiery rhetoric, he or she will lose too. Pat Buchanan was the most conservative candidate in the field every time he ran, why did he lose every time? Because even Republicans don't simply want the most conservative candidate if he's a fire-breathing right-wing ideologue who will scare more than half the country into voting for the Democrat whoever he or she is. As for the Reagan analogy, he didn't win simply because he was a conservative. He won because he was Ronald Reagan — an affable campaigner who didn't frighten voters. If Romney loses and the conservative media true believers push for the 2016 version of Pat Buchanan or Michelle Bachmann, the Republican Party will be wandering in the wilderness for a long, long time. Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in the media and Washington consider "must-reading". Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here. Comment by clicking here. JWR contributor Bernard Goldberg, the television news reporter and author of several bestselling books, among them, Bias, a New York Times number one bestseller about how the media distort the news. He is widely seen as one of the most original writers and thinkers in broadcast journalism. Mr. Goldberg covered stories all over the world for CBS News and has won 10 Emmy awards for excellence in journalism. He now reports for the widely acclaimed HBO broadcast Real Sports. He is a graduate of Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey and a member of the school's Hall of Distinguished Alumni and proprietor of BernardGoldberg.com. Previously: • 10/01/12: Even If He Wins, Obama Will Lose • 09/27/12: Obama Picks Up a Crucial Demographic • 09/26/12: If Obama Thinks He Inherited a Mess Four Years Ago . . . • 09/24/12: A Good Way to Kill Free Speech • 08/30/12: Facts I Have Uncovered About the Real Mitt Romney • 08/23/12: Hope and Change, R.I.P.s • 08/16/12: Who's Smarter: Joe Biden or Yogi Berra? • 08/13/12: His Silence Makes Him Complicit • 08/07/12: Did You Know that Harry Reid Got Rich Pimping Out HOs? • 08/02/12: Like Birds on a Telephone Wire • 07/30/12: What Me Worry? YES! • 07/26/27: The Mystery Continues --- A Tale of Two Polls • 07/16/27: We've Set a Low Bar for 'Courage' • 07/11/27: Will Class Warfare Work? • 07/09/27: A Brave New World • 07/02/27: Now the Fun Really Starts • 06/19/27: You Can't Make This Stuff Up . . . • 06/19/12: I Would Have Fired Him Before He Got Back to the Office • 06/12/12: Time to Crush the Myth about Gender Pay Inequality • 06/06/12: The Desperate Campaign of Barack Obama • 06/01/12: Hey Fatso! Listen Up! • 05/25/12: Going After the Stupid Vote • 05/22/12: The X Factor(s)! • 05/15/12: Obama Has a Halo; Newsweek Has No Shame • 05/10/12: Authoritarians on Campus • 05/08/12: Obama's Path to Victory: Divide and Conquer • 05/01/12: President Cool Meets Reality • 04/25/12: Why Media Bias Matters • 04/17/12: NYT: At It Again • 04/13/12: Kissing up to the Rev. Al • 04/10/12: This Just In: War Breaks Out --- Thank You, Lord • 04/03/12: In Cold Blood? • 03/27/12: Trayvon Martin and Media Hypocrisy • 03/26/12: Time to Go, Rick • 03/22/12: Obama's Mantra: Don't Blame Me • 03/19/12: The U.N. Human Rights Council --- and other Jokes • 03/13/12: Bias in the News: Blame it on Their Zip Code • 03/06/12: Thank Heaven for Rich People --- a Second Look • 02/29/12: Some Free Advice for the Republican Field • 02/28/12: Do We Have a Right to Lie? • 02/16/12: Can Obama Win Re-Election by Promising Free Stuff? • 02/06/12: The 5 Stages of Mitt • 02/02/12: Florida Has Spoken; Cue the Fat Lady • 01/30/12: The Other Global Warming Story • 01/26/12: They See Racists Everywhere . . . • 01/24/12: The Arrogant and Clueless Mainstream Media • 01/23/12: Gingrich Wins SC --- Media Help Big Time • 01/18/12: A New Entry for 100 People Who Are Screwing Up America • 01/12/12: The Dream Ticket Could Be a Conservative Nightmare • 01/11/12: Now 'Anybody But Romney' Has a Name • 12/30/11: I Have a Confession to Make . . . • 12/27/11: Know When to Hold 'em and Know When to Fold 'em • 12/20/11: NBC News, the KKK and the State of Journalism • 12/19/11: Mitt and Newt: Two Rich Guys Arguing Over Money • 12/13/11: Donald Trump Is the Greatest; Just Ask Him • 12/12/11: Rob Peter to Pay Paul: Bad Economics! Good Politics? • 12/07/11: Yeah . . . and Fish Don't Know They're Wet, Either • 12/06/11: Did the Media Play Fair with Herman Cain? • 12/05/11: Obama to Blue-Collar America: Adios! • 11/29/11: We Can Stop the Crazy Train Before It Gets to Greece • 11/22/11: Who Can Beat Obama? • 11/15/11: The Dumbest Media Question I've Ever Heard • 11/09/11: What If Herman Cain Did It? • 11/08/11: What If Herman Cain Were a Lib? • 11/02/11: Who Can Beat Obama? • 11/01/11: We're Approaching the Tipping Point • 10/25/11: A Response to the Angry Purists • 10/18/11: They're Waiting for Reagan to Hit the Campaign Trail • 10/12/11: Read This!!! --- But Only If You Have Nothing Better To Do • 10/04/11: Can Obama Win Re-Election? • 09/27/11: It's NOT the Economy Stupid, It's Theology • 09/20/11: Bad News on the Doorstep • 09/09/11: Hypocrisy! • 09/06/11: Back to the Future • 08/24/11: Hillary vs. Obama in 2012? It'll Never Happen --- I Don't Think • 08/22/11: Warning: Conservatives May Be Harmful to Your Mental Health • 08/17/11: Warren Buffett, Coddled Billionaire • 08/11/11: Too Much Balance in the Media? • 08/04/11: All Aboard the Crazy Train • 08/01/11: Liberal Hate Speech • 07/25/11: With All Due Respect, Go Fly a Kite • 07/20/11: Who Is A ‘Natural Born Citizen’? • 07/18/11: Guess Who's Not Paying Their Fair Share • 07/12/11: Against More Taxes? You May Be a Terrorist! • 07/11/11: Casey Anthony: The TV Show • 07/06/11: Standards and Double Standards at MSNBC • 06/29/11: Is Jon Stewart A Racist? • 06/21/11: Let's Play the Race Card --- Just for Fun Of Course • 06/20/11: Sarah Palin and Weiner's Weiner • 06/03/11: Memo to GOP: Turn Mr. Obama into Mr. Yesterday • 05/20/11: I Get Letters From People Who Should Be Locked Up • 05/09/11: Is ‘Torture’ Ever Justified? • 05/02/11: The Promiscuous Use of the R Word • 04/19/11: The Man Behind the Million Dollar Smile • 04/12/11: What's the Difference Between Libs in Politics and Libs in the Media? • 04/08/11: An Idea Whose Time Has Come — and Gone • 03/28/11: The Pundits Are Driving Me Crazy --- And You Thought Qadaffi Is Nuts • 03/14/11: No Liberal Bias at NPR — Just Ask NPR • 03/10/11: The media's frustration • 03/01/11: Progressives Lost in Time . . . • 02/23/11: The Lamestreams Strike Again --- This Time in Madison • 02/03/11: You MUST Own a Gun --- Or Else! • 01/20/11: It Was Horrible, I tell you … HORRIBLE! • 01/11/11: Here We Go Again . . . • 01/06/11: You Go, Oprah • 12/28/10: A Year-Ender --- The MSM and Obama's Fall from Grace • 12/14/10: Thank Heaven for Rich People • 12/02/10: The Phony Nobility of Wikileaks © 2011, Bernard Goldberg

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