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Jewish World Review Oct. 12, 2004 / 27 Tishrei, 5764 Egyptian terrorists will succeed — in moving relations with Israel forward By Frida Ghitis http://www.jewishworldreview.com | The terrorists who massacred dozens of tourists and workers in the Egyptian resort of Taba have placed the government of President Hosni Mubarak in a dangerous dilemma. The perpetrators of the Thursday-night slaughter planned it that way. They wanted to score points with their Arab and Muslim audiences. But that was not their only goal. Weakening a government like Mubarak's, one that maintains relations with both the United States and Israel, had to stand at or near the top of their list of objectives. Unfortunately for the attackers, there is a better-than-even chance that the events will produce the opposite result. Mubarak will find himself under pressure, particularly from Israel, to crack down on extremists. Increasing cooperation with Israel or being seen as yielding to Israeli pressures will unsettle many Egyptians and infuriate many others. Killing Israelis is not exactly an unpopular activity in today's Middle East. Stopping potential killers brings much more scorn. Despite the political cost, there is little doubt that the Egyptian government will work to prevent another night of devastation. Egypt, with its poverty-wracked economy, cannot afford to see vital tourism once again decimated by terrorists. The last tourist massacre, in the town of Luxor in 1997, left 58 foreigners dead. It also brought the tourism industry to its knees, causing billions in losses and adding thousands of newly unemployed to Egypt's dusty, seething streets. The cost of inaction goes beyond money and jobs. The Islamist ideology that fuels today's Muslim extremism was born from Muslim intellectuals in Egypt. Their ideological offspring assassinated Mubarak's predecessor, Anwar Sadat, and have tried to kill the current president more than once. A brutal crackdown put out the insurrection in Egypt. But it spread the flames throughout the region. Osama bin Laden's right-hand man, Ayman al Zawahiri, an Egyptian, gave many of his fiery speeches inside the country's jails before joining forces with al Qaeda. Mubarak will not hesitate to come down hard on extremists once again, even if it means cooperating with a man universally despised in the Arab world, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. The initial response did not look promising, but that will change. A spokesman for Mubarak first blamed the carnage on Israel's recent incursions in the neighboring Gaza strip, which have left dozens dead. The European Union did the same when it used the code word for ''the Israelis brought it on themselves.'' (The E.U.'s foreign policy chief called for an end to the "cycle of violence.'') But both were mistaken in tying Thursday's attacks to Israel's current Gaza offensive. On Sept. 9, the Israeli government warned its citizens to stay out of Egypt's resorts in the Sinai Peninsula because it had ''concrete'' evidence of impending violence. Israel's Gaza operations began on Sept. 29, after rockets fired from Gaza killed a couple of Israeli toddlers inside Israel. Mubarak and his top aides will not shift blame to Israel and ignore the danger. When Israeli rescue workers rushed to the scene, only yards from the border, Egyptian officials stopped them and their ambulances from crossing. After Sharon called Cairo the gates opened, and the rescue operation proceeded. Israeli officials have advised rescue workers to stop their criticism of Egypt, a sign that cooperation is on the way. The top advisors and most likely successors to the 76-year-old Egyptian president will surely urge him not to shun Israel's demands for action. His son, Gamal, a rising star in the country's political firmament, will counsel working together with Israel and the West. He used to work for Bank of America in London and favors pro-Western reforms. The other voice in his ear will come from Intelligence Chief Omar Suleiman. Suleiman has had extensive contacts with Israel and the United States with regard to security issues. He will also embrace a joint approach. As different groups compete for the badge of honor that is mass murder in much of the Middle East, they may succeed in scoring a propaganda, or even a recruiting, victory with the masses. But their goal of weakening the Egyptian government and fraying its ties with the Israeli government will most likely end in failure. Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in Washington and in the media consider "must reading." Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here. JWR contributor Frida Ghitis writes about world affairs. Comment by clicking here. © 2004, Frida Ghitis