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May 23, 2012
Tony Pugh: More private colleges offering tuition discounts
Mary Beth Franklin: How to Choose the Right Annuity for You
Tina Susman: The wig wasn't enough: Man gets 13 years for posing as his dead mom
The Kosher Gourmet by Emma Christensen:A simple way to do fish right
May 22, 2012
Warren Richey: Can US group challenge overseas surveillance act? Supreme Court to decide
Thomas M. Anderson: Walking Away From a Mortgage
The Kosher Gourmet by Megan Gordon: Enjoy a celebration of the most rich and layered flavors: Black bean, sweet potato and quinoa chili
May 21, 2012
Mark Clayton: Cybersecurity: How US utilities passed up chance to protect their networks
Howard LaFranchi: NATO summit: Who will foot the bill for long-term Afghanistan security?
Chris Farrell : Earn Dividends in Emerging Markets with This WisdomTree ETF
Stephen Whiteside, Ph.D. : Mayo Clinic Medical Edge: Social anxiety disorder --- or just shy?
Guy Jackson : Victim's father regrets death of Lockerbie bomber
The Kosher Gourmet by Mario Batali: Famed chef's veal shoulder farsumagru: A festive meat course for late spring
May 18, 2012
Rabbi Berel Wein: Striving: The People of the Book's Book for (All of) the People
Steven Goldberg: 5 Great Stock Picks and the Exchange-Traded Fund that Owns Them
Mary Pickett, M.D.: Ask the Harvard Experts: Don't be forced into gluten-free lifestyle based merely on a doctor's false-positive test
The Kosher Gourmet by Carolyn Malcoun: DIY healthy lunchbox treats: HOMEMADE FRUIT BARS for kids and brown-bagging adults alike
May 17, 2012
Warren Richey: Teacher fired for being unwed and pregnant can sue religious school, court rules
Josh Mitnick: Netanyahu's 'centrist' coalition is already proving it's anything but
Steven Goldberg: Earn Dividends in Emerging Markets with This WisdomTree ETF
Amina Khan: Research links coffee to lower death rates
The Kosher Gourmet by Faith Duran : Cheesy Potato Breakfast Casserole with Cheddar and Sun-Dried Tomatoes
May 16, 2012
Carmen Terzic, M.D., Ph.D. : Mayo Clinic Medical Edge: A variety of exercises can help improve balance
Melissa Healy: National strategy on Alzheimer's disease aims to halt it by 2025
The Kosher Gourmet by Joyce White : GOODNESS GRACIOUS: GREENS! 4 winning recipes that are no longer just for down-home folks (Includes expert tips & techniques)
May 15, 2012
Kristen Chick: Obama administration resumes arms sales to Bahrain despite serious unresolved human rights issues. Activists feel abandoned
Pat Mertz Esswein: Homes are now affordable again and mortgage rates are low. What you need to know before you buy
Kathy Kristof: Our Practical Investor Fights Inflation with These 6 Investments
Sue Hubbard, M.D.: The Kid's Doctor: Lactose intolerant young child? Check again
The Kosher Gourmet by Kathy Hunt: Spread a Little Excitement with EXOTIC CONDIMENTS (4 RECIPES)
May 14, 2012
Lisa Gerstner: How to Protect Your Identity, Finances If You Lose Your Phone
Harvard Health Letters: Heart disease and dementia
The Kosher Gourmet by Megan Gordon: MANGO COCONUT OAT MORNING MUFFINS are a bright but hearty delight
May 11, 2012
Jessica L. Anderson: Get the Best Deal on a Used Car
Jett Stone: Forget face-lifts and fake knees. Scientists have seen the fountain of youth --- and it's broccoli
The Kosher Gourmet by Chef Mario Batali: The famed chef's vegetable dish that tastes true to the season: FAVAS AND SUGAR SNAP PEAS WITH POTATOES AND TARRAGON
May 10, 2012
Sergei L. Loiko: Putin sends warning to U.S., NATO in Victory Day speech at Red Square
Mary Rourke: How being a 'mentch' got Vidal Sasoon his start and fighting in Israel's War of Independence provided him with confidence and a strong sense of his own identity
Jeff Bertolucci: Get Home Phone Service for Less Than $10 a Month
The Kosher Gourmet by Betty Rosbottom: Gleaming with its golden, crimson, and snowy white hues, this silken smooth and creamy STRAWBERRY ORANGE TRIFLE looks impressive, but is easy to prepare
May 9, 2012
Sharon Palmer, R.D. How you can reduce your risk -- or delay -- chronic diseases associated with aging
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Jewish World Review
July 31, 2006
/ 6 Menachem-Av, 5766
The Dems can win the House
By
Dick Morris and Eileen McGann
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http://www.JewishWorldReview.com |
The conventional wisdom is that the Republicans have locked up the House of Representatives by canny and undemocratic gerrymandering of the district lines. But a close examination of the 2004 election returns indicates that GOP control of the House could well be in jeopardy.
In 2004, Americans voted for Republicans over Democrats for the House by 59 million to 56 million - a Republican advantage of three percentage points. The result was a body with 234 Republicans and 201 Democrats. But current polls indicate a decisive generic preference for Democrats for Congress. Fox News polling in May, for example, showed an eight-point Democratic edge in congressional balloting. If the Democrats can maintain anything approaching that margin, they may well retake control of the House.
And there are plenty of vulnerable Republican seats for the taking. Seven House Republicans who won with less than 60 percent of the vote in 2004 are retiring. These open seats are very likely targets for a Democratic takeover. (Only one similarly situated Democrat is leaving the House). Among Republicans seeking re-election, 16 won last time with less than 55 percent of the vote; another 31 pulled 55 percent to 60 percent. A strong Democratic trend could wipe out many of these Republican legislators.
The Senate (which is based on state lines and so can't be gerrymandered) presents another bright picture for the Democrats. They need a gain of six seats to control the body, and are within striking distance of five incumbent Republicans - Mike DeWine (Ohio), Jim Talent (Mo.), Lincoln Chaffee (R.I.), Conrad Burns (Mont.) and Rick Santorum (Pa.). Only one Democratic incumbent, Maria Cantwell of Washington state, is in any kind of difficulty. With a sharp Democratic trend, she's likely to pull through, while the five endangered GOP incumbents lose. In New Jersey, appointed Sen. Bob Menendez looks likely to hold the seat vacated by new Gov. Jon Corzine.
The sixth Democratic gain in the Senate would likely be the Tennessee seat that Majority Leader Bill Frist is vacating. Rep. Harold Ford, the Democratic candidate for the seat, is running even or ahead of both of his likely GOP opponents in the most recent polls.
Why are the Republicans running so poorly?
Iraq and gas prices are a big part of the story. President Bush's dismal approval ratings have a lot to do with it. But the larger reason is that the Republican Congress has acquired a reputation for corruption that hobbles GOP efforts to remain in control.
With Republicans in total control of the levers of power in Washington, the Fox News poll reflects that voters feel the GOP is the more corrupt party by 2:1. Given the chance, doubtless the Democrats would even the score with their share of scandals, but the fact remains that absolute power has given the Republican Party a reputation for corruption.
And then there is the fact that the Republicans have no agenda. What would they pass in the next two years that they have not passed in the previous six? What legislative initiative will emerge from renewed GOP control of Congress? One would be hard pressed to name any.
The Republican Party passed the Patriot Act, the tax cuts of 2001 and the No Child Left Behind Act, a monumental education reform. But after these labors, the GOP majority rested - and has done almost nothing since.
There is no Republican initiative on health care, pension security, global climate change, gas prices or any of the issues most Americans care about. The GOP simply has no agenda. Even immigration reform has been crippled by party bickering.
And the Republican prospects, as a result, are not too bright.
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JWR contributor Dick Morris is author, most recently, of "Because He Could". (Click HERE to purchase. Sales help fund JWR.) Comment by clicking here.
Dick Morris Archives
© 2006, Dick Morris
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