In this issue

Jonathan Tobin: Defending the Right to a Jewish State

Heather Hale: Compliment your kids without giving them big heads

Megan Shauri: 10 ways you are ruining your own happiness

Carolyn Bigda: 8 Best Dividend Stocks for 2015

Kiplinger's Personal Finance editors: 7 Things You Didn't Know About Paying Off Student Loans

Samantha Olson: The Crucial Mistake 55% Of Parents Are Making At Their Baby's Bedtime

Densie Well, Ph.D., R.D. Open your eyes to yellow vegetables

The Kosher Gourmet by Megan Gordon With its colorful cache of purples and oranges and reds, COLLARD GREEN SLAW is a marvelous mood booster --- not to mention just downright delish
April 18, 2014

Rabbi Yonason Goldson: Clarifying one of the greatest philosophical conundrums in theology

Caroline B. Glick: The disappearance of US will

Megan Wallgren: 10 things I've learned from my teenagers

Lizette Borreli: Green Tea Boosts Brain Power, May Help Treat Dementia

John Ericson: Trying hard to be 'positive' but never succeeding? Blame Your Brain

The Kosher Gourmet by Julie Rothman Almondy, flourless torta del re (Italian king's cake), has royal roots, is simple to make, . . . but devour it because it's simply delicious

April 14, 2014

Rabbi Dr Naftali Brawer: Passover frees us from the tyranny of time

Greg Crosby: Passing Over Religion

Eric Schulzke: First degree: How America really recovered from a murder epidemic

Georgia Lee: When love is not enough: Teaching your kids about the realities of adult relationships

Cameron Huddleston: Freebies for Your Lawn and Garden

Gordon Pape: How you can tell if your financial adviser is setting you up for potential ruin

Dana Dovey: Up to 500,000 people die each year from hepatitis C-related liver disease. New Treatment Has Over 90% Success Rate

Justin Caba: Eating Watermelon Can Help Control High Blood Pressure

The Kosher Gourmet by Joshua E. London and Lou Marmon Don't dare pass over these Pesach picks for Manischewitz!

April 11, 2014

Rabbi Hillel Goldberg: Silence is much more than golden

Caroline B. Glick: Forgetting freedom at Passover

Susan Swann: How to value a child for who he is, not just what he does

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Financial Tasks You Should Tackle Right Now

Sandra Block and Lisa Gerstner: How to Profit From Your Passion

Susan Scutti: A Simple Blood Test Might Soon Diagnose Cancer

Chris Weller: Have A Slow Metabolism? Let Science Speed It Up For You

The Kosher Gourmet by Diane Rossen Worthington Whitefish Terrine: A French take on gefilte fish

April 9, 2014

Jonathan Tobin: Why Did Kerry Lie About Israeli Blame?

Samuel G. Freedman: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Jessica Ivins: A resolution 70 years later for a father's unsettling legacy of ashes from Dachau

Kim Giles: Asking for help is not weakness

Kathy Kristof and Barbara Hoch Marcus: 7 Great Growth Israeli Stocks

Matthew Mientka: How Beans, Peas, And Chickpeas Cleanse Bad Cholesterol and Lowers Risk of Heart Disease

Sabrina Bachai: 5 At-Home Treatments For Headaches

The Kosher Gourmet by Daniel Neman Have yourself a matzo ball: The secrets bubby never told you and recipes she could have never imagined

April 8, 2014

Lori Nawyn: At Your Wit's End and Back: Finding Peace

Susan B. Garland and Rachel L. Sheedy: Strategies Married Couples Can Use to Boost Benefits

David Muhlbaum: Smart Tax Deductions Non-Itemizers Can Claim

Jill Weisenberger, M.S., R.D.N., C.D.E : Before You Lose Your Mental Edge

Dana Dovey: Coffee Drinkers Rejoice! Your Cup Of Joe Can Prevent Death From Liver Disease

Chris Weller: Electric 'Thinking Cap' Puts Your Brain Power Into High Gear

The Kosher Gourmet by Marlene Parrish A gift of hazelnuts keeps giving --- for a variety of nutty recipes: Entree, side, soup, dessert

April 4, 2014

Rabbi David Gutterman: The Word for Nothing Means Everything

Charles Krauthammer: Kerry's folly, Chapter 3

Amy Peterson: A life of love: How to build lasting relationships with your children

John Ericson: Older Women: Save Your Heart, Prevent Stroke Don't Drink Diet

John Ericson: Why 50 million Americans will still have spring allergies after taking meds

Cameron Huddleston: Best and Worst Buys of April 2014

Stacy Rapacon: Great Mutual Funds for Young Investors

Sarah Boesveld: Teacher keeps promise to mail thousands of former students letters written by their past selves

The Kosher Gourmet by Sharon Thompson Anyone can make a salad, you say. But can they make a great salad? (SECRETS, TESTED TECHNIQUES + 4 RECIPES, INCLUDING DRESSINGS)

April 2, 2014

Paul Greenberg: Death and joy in the spring

Dan Barry: Should South Carolina Jews be forced to maintain this chimney built by Germans serving the Nazis?

Mayra Bitsko: Save me! An alien took over my child's personality

Frank Clayton: Get happy: 20 scientifically proven happiness activities

Susan Scutti: It's Genetic! Obesity and the 'Carb Breakdown' Gene

Lecia Bushak: Why Hand Sanitizer May Actually Harm Your Health

Stacy Rapacon: Great Funds You Can Own for $500 or Less

Cameron Huddleston: 7 Ways to Save on Home Decor

The Kosher Gourmet by Steve Petusevsky Exploring ingredients as edible-stuffed containers (TWO RECIPES + TIPS & TECHINQUES)

Jewish World Review June 12, 2008 / 10 Sivan 5768

The Myth of the 50-State Campaign

By Roger Simon

Printer Friendly Version

Email this article

http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | The Barack Obama campaign has announced a "50 state strategy" for the fall campaign.

Steve Hildebrand, his deputy campaign manager, sent out an e-mail to supporters this week that said, "Today, I am proud to announce that our presidential campaign will be the first in a generation to deploy and maintain staff in every single state."

And it makes sense to campaign in every state, right? I mean because voters in every state get to vote and every state (plus Washington, D.C.) gets votes in the Electoral College, right? So campaigning everywhere just makes sense, doesn't it?

Well, no. It's a big country. And even though the two nominees will have a minimum of $85 million for their eight-week general election campaign (and quite possibly more if they refuse public financing), they don't really want to spread their resources over all 50 states.

They feel it doesn't make sense.

If a state votes reliably for the Republican nominee every four years, why should John McCain spend a lot of time there?

If a state votes reliably for the Democratic nominee every four years, why should Barack Obama campaign there?

So eliminate those states, and the campaign map starts shrinking fast.

Could Barack Obama dramatically increase black voter registration in the South and win Southern states that Democrats have not won in a long time? Well, he could. (And I'll write more about this later.)

But as John Kerry demonstrated, Democrats don't really have to win any Southern states to claim the White House. Kerry lost them all in 2004, but had he won Ohio, he would have become president.

We have two candidates this time, however, who have the ability to reach across party lines to independents — and that could change some things.

This has led some to think that John McCain actually could win California, for example, because it has a lot of independents, he's good on the environment and not bad on immigration, and has the support of California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.

A McCain win in California would almost certainly assure his victory because it would rob the Democrats of their bedrock state and its 55 electoral votes.

But winning California will be very difficult for McCain for one reason: abortion.

McCain is pro-life, and pro-life candidates do not win California. (Schwarzenegger, a Republican, is pro-choice. Had he been pro-life, he would never have been elected governor.) The last pro-life presidential candidate to win California was George H.W. Bush, and that was 20 years ago.

OK, so Obama is the favorite to win California. So does that mean Obama campaigns in the other 49 states to get the 270 electoral votes he needs for victory?

Nope, not worth it. Here is one Obama game plan for victory: He wins every state that John Kerry won in 2004 (which means Obama could lose Ohio and Florida), plus he wins Iowa, Virginia, Colorado and New Mexico.

Now that means Obama has to hold onto all those states that Kerry won, including some that McCain will go after hard, like Michigan, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Wisconsin and New Hampshire.

There will be a few other states in play, but, as you can see, it is not a 50-state map and it won't be a 50-state campaign.

But don't worry if you don't happen to live in a state that will be hotly contested. I hear the whole thing is going to be on television.

Every weekday JewishWorldReview.com publishes what many in Washington and in the media consider "must reading." Sign up for the daily JWR update. It's free. Just click here.

Comment on Roger Simon's column by clicking here.

Roger Simon Archives

© 2008, Creators Syndicate